Abeldane federal election, June 2020

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June 2020 Abeldane federal election

← December 2019 27 - 29 June 2020 July 2020 →

11 of 13 seats in the Reichsversammlung
7 seats needed for a majority
Registered59 47.5%
Turnout95% ( 5 pp)
  First party Second party
  Stumperth bubblehead.png 110px
Leader Connor Stumperth Edward Daniels
Party Pirate League Liberty Front
Alliance Concordia Concordia
Leader since 30 May 2020 17 January 2019
Leader's seat 12th 9th
Last election New 1 + 1 seats, 10.0%
Seats before 1 1
Seats won 5 3 + 1
Seat change 4 3
Popular vote 23 14
Percentage 40.35% 24.59%
Swing New 14.6 pp

  Third party Fourth party
  Millan PRG bubblehead.png Renwick ANU bubblehead.png
Leader Nicolas Millan Patrick Renwick
Party Royalists and Greens National Union
Leader since 19 May 2020 29 May 2020
Leader's seat 7th 4th
Last election 3 seats, 30.0%[N 1] 7 + 1 seats, 60.0%
Seats before 4 6
Seats won 2 1
Seat change 2 5
Popular vote 11 9
Percentage 19.30% 15.79%
Swing 10.7 pp 44.2 pp

Vorsitzender before election

Patrick Renwick
National Union

Vorsitzender after election

N/A, later Patrick Renwick
N/A, later National Royalists - The Green Union

The 21st Abeldane federal election took place from 27 until 29 June 2020; 11 out of 13 seats in the Reichsversammlung, as well as a number of seats in state legislatures were renewed. It was the 9th legislative election in the Empire since the introduction of direct elections to the Reichsversammlung.

The National Union (ANU) sought to regain its majority in the Reichsversammlung after gradually losing seats since the previous election. The Party of Royalists and Greens (PRG) sought to gain a majority after merging Royalists and Social Ecology. Liberty Front and the newly formed Pirate League both had a single seat, and both parties formed the electoral alliance Concordia.

The election resulted in major gains for Concordia, especially the Pirate League, which went from being one of the two smallest parties in the Reichsversammlung to winning a plurality and over 40% of the vote. The Liberty Front came second in the vote, with nearly 25%. On the other hand, the ruling ANU saw its popular support plummet over 40 percentage points since the December election, resulting in the resignation of its leader Patrick Renwick from the Vorsitzendership and triggering a snap executive election.

Background

Since December 2018, the elections to the Reichsversammlung and the executive have been staggered after over a year of holding them together. As states became more active and independent from the federal government, states have started to hold elections in conjunction with either the executive or legislative federal elections.

Electoral system

Members of the Reichsversammlung are divided into two: elected members and directly appointed members. Under the constitution, it provides two appointed seats in the Reichsversammlung. One seat is held ex officio by the Ervecysarich, currently Stephen Freayth, and one seat is directly appointed by the Monarch and is called the Imperial Representative. The rest of the seats are directly elected through the election.

Party-list proportional representation system is used for the electable seats and the Droop quota is used for allocating seats to parties. Each parties get to submit a list of members who wish to be elected in the Reichsversammlung and must not exceed the total number of elected seats. Members under the party list are ordered accordingly at the discretion of the party and they have to belong to the same party as their party list.

Currently, there are ten electable seats and the constitution allows for diminishing or increasing these seats. Seats were last increased or diminished in November 2019, where the current 11+2 seats were implemented.

Campaign

National Union

Concordia (Liberty Front and Pirate League)

As part an electoral agreement, the Liberty Front (centrist, libertarian) and the newly formed Pirate League (left-wing, advocating pirate politics) created the Concordia alliance. The two parties campaigned in a concerted effort, as their imagery and messages were delivered jointly and with previous agreement. However, both parties still presented their electoral manifestos separately.

The Pirate League ran on a platform of policies commonly associated to pirate politics, namely the promotion of e-democracy, greater transparency (including the use of open source software for Abeldane affairs), and freedom of information. It also supported environmental policies and further protection of Abelden's natural and protected areas, increased political attributions for the Imperial legislature, furthering the economic development of the Empire, and an increased ceremonial role for the Abeldane constitutional monarchy.[1]

Royalists and Greens

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Reichsversammlung.

Name Ideologies Leader Dec. 2019 result Seats as of
June 2020
Votes (%) Seats
ANU Abeldane National Union
Abeldänisches Nationale Union
Nationalism Patrick Renwick 60%
8 / 13
6 / 13
LF Liberty Front
Front für Freiheit
Liberalism Edward Daniels 10%
2 / 13
1 / 13
PRG Party of Royalists and Greens
Partei der Königstreuen und die Grüne
Royalism Nicolas Millan 30%
3 / 13
4 / 13
PL Pirate League
Piratenbund
Pirate politics Connor Stumperth New
0 / 13
1 / 13

Results

5 4 2 1 1
Pirate League Liberty Front PRG ANU Ind.
Reichsversammlung – Turnout 95,00%
Party Votes % Swing
(pp)
Seats Change
(seats)
  Pirate League 23 40,35 +40,35 5 5
  Liberty Front 14 24,60 +14,60 3 2
  Party of Royalists and Greens 11 19,30 -10,70 2 2
  Abeldane National Union 9 15,80 -44,20 1 5
Total 57 100.00 11 0
Invalid/blank votes 0 0.0 0
Registered voters/turnout 60 100% +9.39
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report
Popular Vote
Pirate League
  
40.35%
Liberty Front
  
24.6%
Green Royalists
  
19.3%
National Union
  
15.8%
Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Pirate League
  
45.45%
Liberty Front
  
27.27%
Green Royalists
  
18.18%
National Union
  
9.09%
Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Pirate League
  
38.46%
Liberty Front
  
30.77%
Green Royalists
  
15.38%
National Union
  
7.69%

Members

Previous MP Party Took office Elected MP Party Took office Seat #
Elected
Henry Twain National Union 29 May 2020 Connor Stumperth Pirate League 4 February 2019 1
Andrew Irons National Union 10 February 2020 Andrew Irons Liberty Front 10 February 2020 2
Vacant National Union 3 June 2020 Austin Jaax Pirate League 7 September 2019 3
Patrick Renwick National Union 12 October 2019 Patrick Renwick National Union 12 October 2019 4
Alex White Green Royalists 27 April 2020 Keenan Clough Pirate League Not yet sworn in 5
James Frisch National Union 1 January 2020 Chase Nanatovich Pirate League Not yet sworn in 6
Nicolas Millan Green Royalists 6 January 2019 Nicolas Millan Green Royalists 6 January 2019 7
Austin Jaax Green Royalists 7 September 2019 Newton von Uberquie Green Royalists Not yet sworn in 8
Edward Daniels Liberty Front 7 January 2019 Edward Daniels Liberty Front 7 January 2019 9
Thomas Bainbridge Green Royalists 25 February 2020 Tarik Karjasari Pirate League Not yet sworn in 10
Zarel Smith National Union 16 November 2019 Brandon Wu Liberty Front Not yet sworn in 11
Appointed
Connor Stumperth Pirate League 4 February 2019 James Frisch Liberty Front Not yet sworn in 12
Stephen Freayth Independent 16 June 2018 Stephen Freayth Independent 16 June 2018 13

Aftermath

Shortly after the announcement of the results by the Reichswahlkommission, Vorsitzender and ANU leader Patrick Renwick announced his effective resignation, stating that support for the government had "evaporated and gone with the wind".[2][3] Since the position of Stellvertreter has been vacant since the passing of the last officeholder, Nicholas Randouler, on 3 June 2020, a snap executive election must now be held, two months earlier than anticipated in the established electoral calendar.

Opinion polls

Polynomial regression of polling for the June 2020 Abeldane federal election

Legislative

Pollster Conducted Sample P
ANU
LF ASE PRC PL Other Lead
PRG
L'Sydunche 20-26 June 2020 17 17.6% 29.4% 17.6% 35.3% - 5.9%
L'Sydunche 17-19 June 2020 11 18.2% 36.4% 18.2% 27.3% - 9.1%
L'Sydunche 15-16 June 2020 16 12.5% 31.3% 25.0% 31.3% - Tie
L'Sydunche 5-7 June 2020 15 13.3% 33.3% 13.3% 40.0% - 6.7%
L'Sydunche 29-31 May 2020 10 30.0% 50.0% 20.0% - - 20.0%
L'Sydunche 27 May 2020 17 11.8% 64.7% 23.5% - - 41.2%
L'Sydunche 24 May 2020 17 29.4% 58.8% 11.8% - - 29.4%
L'Sydunche 1 May 2020 26 30.8% 38.5% 15.4% 15.4% - - 8%
L'Sydunche 28 April 2020 11 18.2% 27.3% 27.3% 27.3% - - Tie

Notes

  1. The percentage points shown here are the combined results of Social Ecology and Royalists last election prior to their merger.

References

  1. "Charter of the Pirate League". Retrieved 30 June 2020.
  2. Karjasari, Tarik (30 June 2020). "Renwick resigns as Concordia wins supermajority in Reichsversammlung". L'Sydunche. Retrieved 30 June 2020.
  3. "Left-wing landslide in Abelden; Renwick resigns". Amerston Post. 30 June 2020. Retrieved 30 June 2020.