Abeldane federal election, December 2018

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December 2018 Abeldane federal election

← September 2018 21 - 27 December 2018 March 2019 (Exe.)
June 2019 (RVS)
 →

10 of 12 seats in the Reichsversammlung
7 seats needed for a majority
Registered50 8%
Turnout58.0% ( 31.1%)
  First party Second party Third party
  SF bubble.png Artemis L bubble.png H Eden bubble.png
Leader Stephen Freayth Artemis Langford Horatio Eden
Party Die Rechte Social Ecology Liberty Union
Leader since June 2018 August 2017 September 2018
Last election 6 + 1 seats, 70.0% 1 seat, 12.5% 2 + 1 seats, 17.5%
Seats before 6 + 1 1 2 + 1
Seats won 7 + 1 2 1 + 1
Seat change 1 1 1
Popular vote 18 7 4
Percentage 62.1% 24.1% 13.6%
Swing 7.9 pp 11.6 pp 3.9 pp

Vorsitzender before election

Stephen Freayth
Die Rechte

Vorsitzender after election

Tarik Karjasary
Social Ecology

The 18th Abeldane general election took place from the 21st through the 27th of December 2018, including legislative elections to the Reichsversammlung and executive elections to the positions of Vorsitzender and Stellvertreter. The executive elections, originally planned to take place on the 23 December, were extended to take place from the 23rd to the 27th, due to low turnout on the first day of the election.

Ahead of the December election, two-term Vorsitzender and former Emperor Stephen Freayth decided not to run for re-election, prompting several candidacies within the ruling party, Die Rechte which held a series of primary elections to select its Vorsitzender and Stellvertreter candidates in the executive election.

The election resulted in a loss of support for the two larger parties in the Empire, Die Rechte and Liberty Union, which lost seats in the Reichsversammlung, and moderate gains for Abeldane Social Ecology, which gained a seat in the legislative election. ASE's Vorsitzender candidate, Tarik Kârjasary, also won the executive election, marking the first time in over a year that an ASE candidate won the position.

Campaign and Candidates

Die Rechte

On November 11, Nicholas Randouler announced his candidacy for Vorsitzender, with the slogan "A Better Change." He simultaneously released a form asking citizens to input their policy preferences and priorities, for the purposes of a developing a platform. On November 12, former Vorsitzender Thomas Merrell announced his candidacy for that position. On November 14, Richard Hytholoday announced his candidacy to Vorstizender. On November 18, he introduced S.H.R.E.W, a mnemonic for the five planks of his platform. That same day, former Emperor Nicholas Kaos announced his candidacy for Stellvertreter, providing a link to an official website. Anthony Clark and Wilma Oakforrest also ran with Die Rechte for Vorsitzender and Max Pollack ran for Stellvertreter. However, by the 19th of November, all had dropped out.

On November 20, a debate was held between Merrell, Randouler, and Hytholoday, the first time a party has held a primary debate. Prominent issues on which the candidates sparred included expansion of the Empire and the proposal to add an upper house to the Abeldane Legislature.

On November 25, the primary's results were announced. After the first-choice votes were counted, Nicholas Randouler placed third and was thus eliminated. When his second-place votes were distributed between the two remaining candidates Merrell possessed the lead, making him Die Rechte's Vorsitzender nominee.

Liberty Union

On November 11, Edward Daniels announced his candidacy for Vorsitzender. He withdrew from the race on the 25th of November, following a disappointing opinion poll performance and the announcement of Merrell's nomination. He explained that he dropped out because he felt that he was unlikely to win, but stated that he would "most likely run in the next election."

On November 17, Austin Jaax announced his candidacy for Stellvertreter. He dropped out on November 28, following a poor performance in L'Sydunche's opinion poll.

Social Ecology

It was speculated that Artemis Langford might be Abeldane Social Ecology's Vorsitzender candidate for a fifth straight election. However, on November 14, Tarik Kârjasary announced his candidacy for the position, introducing an official campaign website. This website included several specific policy proposals, including the creation of an upper legislative house, and the implementation of a citizenship test.

Results

Executive

Abeldane executive election, December 2018

← September 2018 23 - 27 December 2018 March 2019 →
Turnout76.0% (4.85 pp)
  T Karjasary bubble.png 100px
Nominee Tarik Kârjasary Thomas Merrell
Party Social Ecology Die Rechte
Running mate None Nicholas Kaos
Popular vote 20 18
Percentage 52.6% 47.4%

Vorsitzender before election

Stephen Freayth
Die Rechte

Vorsitzender after election

Tarik Kârjasary
Social Ecology

The incumbent Vorsitzender, Stephen Freayth, announced shortly after his victory in the September 2018 election that he would not be running for a third term in the executive. Freayth, who had won his second election with the second-highest percentage in Abeldane history, is now the fourth longest-serving Vorsitzender, and would have become the second longest-serving had he ran again and won a third term.

Many candidates rushed to run with Die Rechte, Freayth's party and the senior partner in the 32nd ministry. After a primary election held on 25 November 2018, former Vorsitzender Thomas Merrell emerged victorious and became the party's nominee. The second largest party in the Empire, Liberty Union, originally nominated Stellvertreter Edward Daniels for the Vorsitzendership, but Daniels dropped out of the race due to his performance in opinion polls. Abeldane Social Ecology, Abelden's oldest party, nominated Tarik Kârjasary, the Grand Duke of Rai and former head of the Reichswahlkommission.

Kârjasary eventually won by a margin of two votes in the executive election, which was extended from the 23rd to the 27th of December in order to boost turnout, in a decision made by the Reichswahlkommission.

Vorsitzender
Party Candidate Results
1st pref %
Social Ecology Tarik Kârjasary 20 52.63
Die Rechte Thomas Merrell 18 47.37
Invalid/blank votes 0
Total 38 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 50 76.00
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report
Stellvertreter
Party Candidate Results
1st pref %
Die Rechte Nicholas Kaos 35 92.11
  Abstention 3 7.89
Invalid/blank votes 0
Total 38 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 50 76.00
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report

Legislative

Legislative elections were held on 21 December 2018 and allowed 10 seats in the Reichsversammlung to be elected using party list proportional representation in a single nation-wide district, the standard electoral system of the Empire. The legislative election resulted in gains for ASE, and losses for Die Rechte and Liberty Union.

Party Votes % Swing Seats +/–
  Die Rechte, Abelden's Liberal Party 18 62.07 7 + 1 1
  Abeldane Social Ecology – The Green Labour Party 7 24.14 2 1
  Liberty Union 4 13.79 1 + 1 1
Total 29 100.00 12 1
Invalid/blank votes 0 N/A
Registered voters/Turnout 50 58.00 N/A
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report
Popular Vote
Die Rechte
  
62.1%
Social Ecology
  
24.1%
Liberty Union
  
13.6%
Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Die Rechte
  
77.7%
Social Ecology
  
22.2%
Liberty Union
  
11.1%
Reichsversammlung Seats (all)
Die Rechte
  
88.8%
Social Ecology
  
18.1%
Liberty Union
  
18.1%

Members

Previous MR Party Elected MR Party State Took office Seat #
Elected
Nicholas Kaos Die Rechte Nicholas Kaos Die Rechte Alenshka 20 August 2017 1
Max Pollack Die Rechte Max Pollack Die Rechte Alexander 4 May 2018 2
Nicholas Randouler Die Rechte Nicholas Randouler Die Rechte Alexander 16 November 2018 3
Charlotte Katrinsdottir Die Rechte Charlotte Katrinsdottir Die Rechte Morgannwg 2 December 2018 4
Michael Brazeau Die Rechte Richard Hytholoday Die Rechte Morgannwg 23 December 2018 5
Edward Daniels Die Rechte Tarik Kârjasary Social Ecology Rai 23 December 2018 6
Anthony Clark Die Rechte Thomas Merrell Die Rechte Morgannwg 23 December 2018 7
Austin Jaax Liberty Union Horatio Eden Liberty Union Alenshka 6 October 2018 8
Artemis Langford Social Ecology Artemis Langford Social Ecology St. Castle 20 August 2017 9
N/A Wilma Oakforrest Die Rechte Demirelia 23 December 2018 10
Appointed
Horatio Eden Liberty Union Edward Daniels Liberty Union Demirelia 7 January 2019 11
Stephen Freayth Die Rechte Stephen Freayth Die Rechte Alenshka 16 June 2018 12

Opinion polls

Vorsitzender

Pollster Release Sample Hytholoday
DR
Merrell
DR
Oakforrest
DR
Randouler
DR
Daniels
LU
Karjasary
ASE
Other Lead
L'Sydunche 11-15-2018 18 5.6% 16.7% 5.6% 22.2% 22.2% 27.8% - 5.6%
L'Sydunchea 11-16-2018 16 6.25% 12.5% 0% 6.25% 31.25% 43.75% - Tie
N/A 25% N/A N/A 31.25% 43.75% -
N/A N/A N/A N/A 50% 50% -
L'Sydunchea 11-17-2018 13 7.7% 0% 0% 23.1% 30.8% 38.5% - 23%
N/A N/A N/A N/A 38.5% 61.5% -
L'Sydunchea 11-19-2018 13 7.7% 7.7% 0% 30.8% 30.8% 23.1% - 7.68%
N/A N/A N/A 53.84% 46.16% N/A -
L'Sydunchea 11-22-2018 17 11.8% 17.7% N/A 17.7% 23.5% 29.4% - 5.8%
N/A N/A N/A N/A 52.9% 47.1% -
L'Sydunchea 11-25-2018 17 17.6% 23.5% N/A 17.6% 11.8% 29.4% - 17.6%
N/A 41.2% N/A N/A N/A 58.8% -
Merrell receives Die Rechte nomination. Daniels drops out.
L'Sydunche 11-28-2018 19 N/A 36.8% N/A N/A 5.3% 57.9% - 21.1%
L'Sydunche 11-30-2018 16 N/A 43.4% N/A N/A N/A 56.3% - 12.9%

Stellvertreter

Pollster Release Sample Kaos
DR
Pollack
DR
Jaax
LU
Other Lead
L'Sydunche 11-15-2018 18 61.1% 38.9% N/A - 22.2%
L'Sydunche 11-16-2018 16 75% 25% N/A - 50%
L'Sydunche 11-17-2018 13 61.5% 38.5% N/A - 23%
L'Sydunche 11-19-2018 13 69.2% 15.4% 15.4% - 53.8%
L'Sydunche 11-22-2018 17 64.7% N/A 35.3% - 29.4%
L'Sydunche 11-25-2018 17 70.6% N/A 29.4% - 41.2%
L'Sydunche 11-28-2018 19 89.5% N/A 10.5% - 79%
L'Sydunche 11-30-2018 16 93.8% N/A 6.3% - 87.5%

Legislative

Pollster Release Sample DR LU ASE ALNA Other Lead
L'Sydunche 11-15-2018 18 44.4% 22.2% 27.8% 5.6% - 16.6%
L'Sydunche 11-16-2018 16 43.8% 31.3% 25% 0% - 12.5%
L'Sydunche 11-17-2018 13 46.2% 23.1% 30% 0% - 16.2%
L'Sydunche 11-19-2018 13 53.8% 38.5% 7.7% 0% - 15.3%
L'Sydunche 11-22-2018 17 52.9% 29.4% 17.6% 0% - 23.5%
L'Sydunche 11-25-2018 17 52.9% 17.6% 29.4% 0% - 23.5%
L'Sydunche 11-28-2018 19 52.6% 36.8% 10.5% 0% - 15.8%
L'Sydunche 11-30-2018 16 56.3% 18.8% 25% 0% - 31.3%