Abeldane federal election, December 2019

Abeldane federal election, December 2019

27–28 December 2019
11 of 13 seats in the Reichsversammlung 7 seats needed for a majority
Registered	40 ▼9.1%
Turnout	100% (▲9.39 pp)
First party Second party   Leader Nicholas Kaos Nicolas Millan Party Populares Party of Royalists and Cooperatism Leader since 27 November 2019 5 June 2019 Leader's seat 13th 7th Last election 5 + 1 seats, 47.5% 1 seat, 13.6% Seats before 5 + 1 1 Seats won 7 + 1 2 Seat change ▲2 ▲1 Popular vote 24 7 Percentage 60.0% 17.5% Swing ▲12.5 pp ▲5 pp   Third party Fourth party   File:Ed bubble.png Leader Edward Daniels Ashley Jaax Party Liberty Front ASE Leader since 17 January 2019 1 July 2019 Leader's seat 12th 8th Last election 2 + 1 seats, 17.5% 2 seats, 22.5% Seats before 2 + 1 3 Seats won 1 + 1 1 Seat change ▼1 ▼1 Popular vote 4 5 Percentage 10.0% 12.5% Swing ▼7.5 pp ▼10 pp
Vorsitzender before election Edward Daniels Liberty Front Vorsitzender after election Edward Daniels Liberty Front

The 20th Abeldane federal election took place from the 27th till the 28th of December 2019, which included the election to the Reichsversammlung and state elections. Originally scheduled to take place from the 27th to the 29th December, it ended one day earlier due to voter turnout of 100% at all elections held.

Following the reforms in 2018, elections for the executive and the legislative were staggered and the term for the Reichsversammlung were extended from 3 months to 6 months. Populares is currently defending its absolute majority of 8 seats whilst the party of the Vorsitzender Edward Daniels, Liberty Front, is currently aiming to increase its seats. Social Ecology is defending its lone seat and had original 2 seats following the resignation of Ava Neasa.

Background

The Reichsversammlung originally had a four-month limit on its legislative term until the 2018 Constitution extended the legislative term to six months. It was also decided that the executive and legislative elections were to be staggered and the last election held where both were held was in December 2018. Ever since then, the first only executive election since June 2017 was held on March 2019, where it saw Edward Daniels of Liberty Front elected as Vorsitzender and Charlotte Katrinsdottir of Populares as Stellvertreter.

The current legislative term, the 10th Reichsversammlung, has overseen two executive elections and two Vorsitzenders and Stellvertreters. Under the Kârjasary ministry, a grand coalition of all the parties were formed and the first since Henry Twain. It oversaw reforms within the government and the Empire in general. After the March 2019 election, Edward Daniels was elected into the Vorsitzendership and retained the grand coalition formed by Kârjasary. The Daniels ministry retained most of the ministers under Kârjasary's term and remains to this day the current composition.

Electoral system

Members of the Reichsversammlung are divided into two: elected members and directly appointed members. Under the constitution, it provides two appointed seats in the Reichsversammlung. One seat is held ex officio by the Ervecysarich, currently Stephen Freayth, and one seat is directly appointed by the Monarch and is called the Imperial Representative. The rest of the seats are directly elected through the election.

Party-list proportional representation system is used for the electable seats and the Droop quota is used for allocating seats to parties. Each parties get to submit a list of members who wish to be elected in the Reichsversammlung and must not exceed the total number of elected seats. Members under the party list are ordered accordingly at the discretion of the party and they have to belong to the same party as their party list.

Currently, there are ten electable seats and the constitution allows for diminishing or increasing these seats. Seats were last increased or diminished on December 2018, where the current 10+2 seats were implemented.

Campaign

Populares

Populares campaign poster from the December 2019 election.

Populares campaigned under the slogan “We Produce, We Deliver, We Can!”, coined by Stephen Freayth. The final party list was decided on 17 December, following internal party discussions. The party program cantered around a commitment to states’ rights, environmentalism, pragmatism and the introduction of a working Abeldane economy. The campaign itself consisted largely of the spreading of the party’s various campaign posters and a call on Abeldanes to vote for the party.

Liberty Front

Liberty Front's campaign poster, Dec. 2019

Liberty Front's campaign platform followed much of the promises of the September 2019 manifesto. Through November and December, Edward Daniels, Leader of Liberty Front chaired the Federal Decentralization Committee of Abelden to address the issue of decentralization throughout the Empire. The success of decentralization following the Committee's motion to dissolve on December 21st helped fuel Liberty Front's campaign and displayed a sense of promised completion of such an agenda.

A famous re-purposed poster from Liberty Front reading, "Continuing the Progress" was part of Liberty Front's campaign materials.

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Reichsversammlung.

Name			Ideologies	Leader	Jun. 2019 result		Current seats
					Votes (%)	Seats
	P	Populares Populares – Abeldänisches Volkspartei	Liberal conservatism	Nicholas Kaos	47.5%	6 / 12	6 / 13
	ASE	Abeldane Social Ecology Abeldänisches Sozialökologie Partei	Social ecology	Jessika Ross	22.5%	2 / 12	3 / 13
	LF	Liberty Front Front für Freiheit	Liberalism	Edward Daniels	17.5%	3 / 12	3 / 13
	PRC	Party of Royalists and Cooperatism Partei der Königstreuen und des Kooperativismus	Royalism	Nicólas Millan	12.5%	1 / 12	1 / 13

Results

↓
8	2	1	2
Populares	Liberty Front	ASE	PRC

Reichsversammlung – Turnout 100%

Party			Votes	%	Swing (pp)	Seats	Change (seats)
	Populares - Abeldane People's Party		24	60.0	+12.5	7 + 1	▲ 2
	Party of Royalists and Cooperatism		7	17.5	+5	2	▲ 1
	Abeldane Social Ecology - The Green Labour Party		5	12.5	-10	1	▼ 1
	Liberty Front		4	10.0	-7.5	1 + 1	▼ 1
Total			40	100.00	–	13	▲ 1
Invalid/blank votes			0	0.0	0	–	–
Registered voters/turnout			40	100%	+9.39	–	–
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report

Popular Vote
Populares			60.0%
Royalists			17.5%
Social Ecology			12.5%
Liberty Front			10.0%

Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Populares			63.63%
Royalists			18.18%
Social Ecology			9.09%
Liberty Front			9.09%

Reichsversammlung Seats (all)
Populares			61.54%
Royalists			15.38%
Liberty Front			15.38%
Social Ecology			7.69%

Members

Previous MP	Party		Elected MP	Party		Took office	Seat #
Elected
Stephen Freayth		Populares	Stephen Freayth		Populares	16 June 2018	1
Max Pollack		Populares	Max Pollack		Populares	11 August 2017	2
Nicholas Randouler		Populares	Nicholas Randouler		Populares	7 January 2019	3
Patrick Renwick		Populares	Patrick Renwick		Populares	12 October 2019	4
Sian von Uberquie		Social Ecology	Hasan Çakar		Populares	1 January 2020	5
Chase Nanatovich		Social Ecology	James Frisch		Populares	1 January 2020	6
Nicolas Millan		Royalists	Nicolas Millan		Royalists	7 January 2019	7
Ashley Jaax		Social Ecology	Ashley Jaax		Social Ecology	7 September 2019	8
Connor Stumperth		Liberty Front	Edward Daniels		Liberty Front	21 June 2018	9
Elijah Mack		Liberty Front	Domantas Magyla		Royalists	1 January 2020	10
Zabëlle Skye		Populares	Zabëlle Skye		Populares	16 November 2019	11
Appointed
Edward Daniels		Liberty Front	Connor Stumperth		Liberty Front	4 February 2019	12
Nicholas Kaos		Populares	Nicholas Kaos		Populares	18 July 2017	13

Opinion polls

Polynomial regression of polling for the December 2019 Abeldane federal election

Legislative

Pollster	Conducted	Sample	P	LF	ASE	PRC	NPP	Other	Lead
L'Sydunche	22 October 2019	7	28.6%	42.9%	14,3%	14.3%	-	-	14.3%
L'Sydunche	23 October 2019	7	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	14.3%	28.6%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	25 October 2019	8	37.5%	12.5%	12.5%	0%	37.5%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	26 October 2019	7	28.6%	14.3%	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	27 October 2019	9	33.3%	22.2%	0%	11.1%	33.3%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	28 October 2019	6	16.7%	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	16.7%	-	16.6%
L'Sydunche	29 October 2019	7	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	14.3%	28.6%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	30 October 2019	7	14.3%	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	28.6%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	31 October 2019	8	12.5%	37.5%	12.5%	12.5%	25.0%	-	12.5%
L'Sydunche	4 November 2019	8	12.5%	25.0%	12.5%	25.0%	25.0%	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	12 November 2019	8	12.5%	25.0%	25.0%	37.5%	-	-	12.5%
L'Sydunche	18 November 2019	9	44.4%	22.2%	11.1%	22.2%	-	-	22.2%
L'Sydunche	19 November 2019	11	54.5%	27.3%	9.1%	9.1%	-	-	27.2%
L'Sydunche	23 November 2019	10	30.0%	20.0%	30.0%	20.0%	-	-	Tie
L'Sydunche	26 November 2019	11	72.7%	18.2%	9.1%	0%	-	-	54.5%
L'Sydunche	30 November 2019	9	44.4%	33.3%	11.1%	11.1%	-	-	11.1%
L'Sydunche	3 December 2019	14	50.0%	21.4%	14.3%	14.3%	-	-	28.6%
L'Sydunche	11 December 2019	12	58.3%	25.0%	8.3%	8.3%	-	-	33.3%