Abeldane federal election, December 2019

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Abeldane federal election, December 2019

← June 2019 27 - 28 December 2019 June 2020 →

11 of 13 seats in the Reichsversammlung
7 seats needed for a majority
Registered40 9.1%
Turnout100% (9.39 pp)
  First party Second party
  Kaos bubble.png Millan bubblehead.png
Leader Nicholas Kaos Nicolas Millan
Party Populares Royalists and Cooperatism
Leader since 27 November 2019 5 June 2019
Leader's seat 13th 7th
Last election 5 + 1 seats, 47.5% 1 seat, 13.6%
Seats before 5 + 1 1
Seats won 7 + 1 2
Seat change 2 1
Popular vote 24 7
Percentage 60.0% 17.5%
Swing 12.5 pp 5 pp

  Third party Fourth party
  110px Austin Bubble 3.png
Leader Edward Daniels Austin Jaax
Party Liberty Front Social Ecology
Leader since 17 January 2019 1 July 2019
Leader's seat 12th 8th
Last election 2 + 1 seats, 17.5% 2 seats, 22.5%
Seats before 2 + 1 3
Seats won 1 + 1 1
Seat change 1 1
Popular vote 4 5
Percentage 10.0% 12.5%
Swing 7.5 pp 10 pp

Vorsitzender before election

Edward Daniels
Liberty Front

Vorsitzender after election

Edward Daniels
Liberty Front

The 20th Abeldane federal election took place from the 27th till the 28th of December 2019, which included the election to the Reichsversammlung and state elections. Originally scheduled to take place from the 27th to the 29th December, it ended one day earlier due to voter turnout of 100% at all elections held.

Following the reforms in 2018, elections for the executive and the legislative were staggered and the term for the Reichsversammlung were extended from 3 months to 6 months. Populares is currently defending its absolute majority of 8 seats whilst the party of the Vorsitzender Edward Daniels, Liberty Front, is currently aiming to increase its seats. Social Ecology is defending its lone seat and had original 2 seats following the resignation of Artemis Langford.

Background

The Reichsversammlung originally had a four-month limit on its legislative term until the 2018 Constitution extended the legislative term to six months. It was also decided that the executive and legislative elections were to be staggered and the last election held where both were held was in December 2018. Ever since then, the first only executive election since June 2017 was held on March 2019, where it saw Edward Daniels of Liberty Front elected as Vorsitzender and Charlotte Katrinsdottir of Populares as Stellvertreter.

The current legislative term, the 10th Reichsversammlung, has overseen two executive elections and two Vorsitzenders and Stellvertreters. Under the Kârjasary ministry, a grand coalition of all the parties were formed and the first since Henry Twain. It oversaw reforms within the government and the Empire in general. After the March 2019 election, Edward Daniels was elected into the Vorsitzendership and retained the grand coalition formed by Kârjasary. The Daniels ministry retained most of the ministers under Kârjasary's term and remains to this day the current composition.

Electoral system

Members of the Reichsversammlung are divided into two: elected members and directly appointed members. Under the constitution, it provides two appointed seats in the Reichsversammlung. One seat is held ex officio by the Ervecysarich, currently Stephen Freayth, and one seat is directly appointed by the Monarch and is called the Imperial Representative. The rest of the seats are directly elected through the election.

Party-list proportional representation system is used for the electable seats and the Droop quota is used for allocating seats to parties. Each parties get to submit a list of members who wish to be elected in the Reichsversammlung and must not exceed the total number of elected seats. Members under the party list are ordered accordingly at the discretion of the party and they have to belong to the same party as their party list.

Currently, there are ten electable seats and the constitution allows for diminishing or increasing these seats. Seats were last increased or diminished on December 2018, where the current 10+2 seats were implemented.

Campaign

Populares

Populares campaign poster from the December 2019 election.

Populares campaigned under the slogan “We Produce, We Deliver, We Can!”, coined by Stephen Freayth. The final party list was decided on 17 December, following internal party discussions. The party program cantered around a commitment to states’ rights, environmentalism, pragmatism and the introduction of a working Abeldane economy. The campaign itself consisted largely of the spreading of the party’s various campaign posters and a call on Abeldanes to vote for the party.

Liberty Front

Liberty Front's campaign poster, Dec. 2019

Liberty Front's campaign platform followed much of the promises of the September 2019 manifesto. Through November and December, Edward Daniels, Leader of Liberty Front chaired the Federal Decentralization Committee of Abelden to address the issue of decentralization throughout the Empire. The success of decentralization following the Committee's motion to dissolve on December 21st helped fuel Liberty Front's campaign and displayed a sense of promised completion of such an agenda.

A famous re-purposed poster from Liberty Front reading, "Continuing the Progress" was part of Liberty Front's campaign materials.

Social Ecology

Royalists

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Reichsversammlung.

Name Ideologies Leader Jun. 2019 result Current seats
Votes (%) Seats
P Populares
Populares – Abeldänisches Volkspartei
Liberal conservatism Nicholas Kaos 47.5%
6 / 12
6 / 13
ASE Abeldane Social Ecology
Abeldänisches Sozialökologie Partei
Social ecology Jessika Ross 22.5%
2 / 12
3 / 13
LF Liberty Front
Front für Freiheit
Liberalism Edward Daniels 17.5%
3 / 12
3 / 13
PRC Party of Royalists and Cooperatism
Partei der Königstreuen und des Kooperativismus
Royalism Nicólas Millan 12.5%
1 / 12
1 / 13

Results

8 2 1 2
Populares Liberty Front ASE PRC
Reichsversammlung – Turnout 100%
Party Votes % Swing
(pp)
Seats Change
(seats)
  Populares - Abeldane People's Party 24 60.0 +12.5 7 + 1 2
  Party of Royalists and Cooperatism 7 17.5 +5 2 1
  Abeldane Social Ecology - The Green Labour Party 5 12.5 -10 1 1
  Liberty Front 4 10.0 -7.5 1 + 1 1
Total 40 100.00 13 1
Invalid/blank votes 0 0.0 0
Registered voters/turnout 40 100% +9.39
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report


Popular Vote
Populares
  
60.0%
Royalists
  
17.5%
Social Ecology
  
12.5%
Liberty Front
  
10.0%
Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Populares
  
63.63%
Royalists
  
18.18%
Social Ecology
  
9.09%
Liberty Front
  
9.09%
Reichsversammlung Seats (all)
Populares
  
61.54%
Royalists
  
15.38%
Liberty Front
  
15.38%
Social Ecology
  
7.69%

Members

Previous MP Party Elected MP Party Took office Seat #
Elected
Stephen Freayth Populares Stephen Freayth Populares 16 June 2018 1
Max Pollack Populares Max Pollack Populares 11 August 2017 2
Nicholas Randouler Populares Nicholas Randouler Populares 7 January 2019 3
Patrick Renwick Populares Patrick Renwick Populares 12 October 2019 4
Sian von Uberquie Social Ecology Hasan Çakar Populares 1 January 2020 5
Chase Nanatovich Social Ecology James Frisch Populares 1 January 2020 6
Nicolas Millan Royalists Nicolas Millan Royalists 7 January 2019 7
Austin Jaax Social Ecology Austin Jaax Social Ecology 7 September 2019 8
Connor Stumperth Liberty Front Edward Daniels Liberty Front 21 June 2018 9
Elijah Mack Liberty Front Domantas Magyla Royalists 1 January 2020 10
Zarel Smith Populares Zarel Smith Populares 16 November 2019 11
Appointed
Edward Daniels Liberty Front Connor Stumperth Liberty Front 4 February 2019 12
Nicholas Kaos Populares Nicholas Kaos Populares 18 July 2017 13

Aftermath

Opinion polls

Polynomial regression of polling for the December 2019 Abeldane federal election

Legislative

Pollster Conducted Sample P LF ASE PRC NPP Other Lead
L'Sydunche 22 October 2019 7 28.6% 42.9% 14,3% 14.3% - - 14.3%
L'Sydunche 23 October 2019 7 28.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 28.6% - Tie
L'Sydunche 25 October 2019 8 37.5% 12.5% 12.5% 0% 37.5% - Tie
L'Sydunche 26 October 2019 7 28.6% 14.3% 28.6% 14.3% 14.3% - Tie
L'Sydunche 27 October 2019 9 33.3% 22.2% 0% 11.1% 33.3% - Tie
L'Sydunche 28 October 2019 6 16.7% 33.3% 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% - 16.6%
L'Sydunche 29 October 2019 7 28.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 28.6% - Tie
L'Sydunche 30 October 2019 7 14.3% 28.6% 14.3% 14.3% 28.6% - Tie
L'Sydunche 31 October 2019 8 12.5% 37.5% 12.5% 12.5% 25.0% - 12.5%
L'Sydunche 4 November 2019 8 12.5% 25.0% 12.5% 25.0% 25.0% - Tie
L'Sydunche 12 November 2019 8 12.5% 25.0% 25.0% 37.5% - - 12.5%
L'Sydunche 18 November 2019 9 44.4% 22.2% 11.1% 22.2% - - 22.2%
L'Sydunche 19 November 2019 11 54.5% 27.3% 9.1% 9.1% - - 27.2%
L'Sydunche 23 November 2019 10 30.0% 20.0% 30.0% 20.0% - - Tie
L'Sydunche 26 November 2019 11 72.7% 18.2% 9.1% 0% - - 54.5%
L'Sydunche 30 November 2019 9 44.4% 33.3% 11.1% 11.1% - - 11.1%
L'Sydunche 3 December 2019 14 50.0% 21.4% 14.3% 14.3% - - 28.6%
L'Sydunche 11 December 2019 12 58.3% 25.0% 8.3% 8.3% - - 33.3%