Abeldane federal election, June 2019

Abeldane federal election, June 2019
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10 of 12 seats in the Reichsversammlung; 7 seats needed for a majority
Registered	44 ▼12%
Turnout	90.61% (▲32.61 pp)
Vorsitzender before election; Edward Daniels; Liberty Front	Vorsitzender after election ; Edward Daniels; Liberty Front

The 19th Abeldane federal election took place from the 27th through the 29th of June 2019, including legislative elections to the Reichsversammlung and state elections.

Following the reforms in 2018, elections for the executive and the legislative were staggered and the term for the Reichsversammlung were extended from 3 months to 6 months. Populares is currently defending its absolute majority of 8 seats whilst the party of the Vorsitzender Edward Daniels, Liberty Front, is currently aiming to increase its seats. Social Ecology is defending its lone seat and originally had 2 seats until the resignation of Ava Neasa.

Populares lost its absolute majority, winning only 5 elected seats and 1 appointed seat, and thus produced the first hung parliament in over a year. Social Ecology managed to regain their lost seat from Ava Neasa and won 2 seats. Liberty Front retained its seats although the seat of Connor Stumperth was nearly lost during the allocation. Royalists and Cooperatism saw their first ever elected seat in the RVS since June 2018 and having participated in an election for the first time.

Daniels managed to retain his coalition and coalition partners decided to include the PRC into the coalition and released the new cabinet ministers on 1 July 2019. Turnout was the highest since April 2018 in legislative elections and saw the largest percentage point increase in history, with 32.61 p.p, and was even higher compared to the largest percentage point decrease in history, which was in December 2018 with 31.1 p.p..

Background

The Reichsversammlung originally had a four-month limit on its legislative term until the 2018 Constitution extended the legislative term to six months. It was also decided that the executive and legislative elections were to be staggered and the last election held where both were held was in December 2018. Ever since then, the first only executive election since June 2017 was held on March 2019, where it saw Edward Daniels of Liberty Front elected as Vorsitzender and Charlotte Katrinsdottir of Populares as Stellvertreter.

The current legislative term, the 10th Reichsversammlung, has overseen two executive elections and two Vorsitzenders and Stellvertreters. Under the Kârjasary ministry, a grand coalition of all the parties were formed and the first since Henry Twain. It oversaw reforms within the government and the Empire in general. After the March 2019 election, Edward Daniels was elected into the Vorsitzendership and retained the grand coalition formed by Kârjasary. The Daniels ministry retained most of the ministers under Kârjasary's term and remains to this day the current composition.

Electoral system

Members of the Reichsversammlung are divided into two: elected members and directly appointed members. Under the constitution, it provides two appointed seats in the Reichsversammlung. One seat is held ex officio by the Ervecysarich, currently Stephen Freayth, and one seat is directly appointed by the Monarch and is called the Imperial Representative. The rest of the seats are directly elected through the election.

Party-list proportional representation system is used for the electable seats and the Droop quota is used for allocating seats to parties. Each parties get to submit a list of members who wish to be elected in the Reichsversammlung and must not exceed the total number of elected seats. Members under the party list are ordered accordingly at the discretion of the party and they have to belong to the same party as their party list.

Currently, there are ten electable seats and the constitution allows for diminishing or increasing these seats. Seats were last increased or diminished in December 2018, where the current 10+2 seats were implemented.

Campaign

Populares

Liberty Front

Social Ecology

Behemoth

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Reichsversammlung.

Name			Ideologies	Leader	Dec. 2018 result		Current seats
Name			Ideologies	Leader	Votes (%)	Seats	Current seats
	P	Populares Populares – Abeldänisches Volkspartei	Liberal conservatism	Stephen Freayth	62.1%	8 / 12	8 / 12
	ASE	Abeldane Social Ecology Abeldänisches Sozialökologie – Die Grüne Arbeitspartei	Social ecology	Tarik Kârjasary	24.1%	2 / 12	1 / 12
	LF	Liberty Front Front für Freiheit	Liberalism	Edward Daniels	17.5%	2 / 12	3 / 12

Results

↓
6	3	2	1
Populares	Liberty Front	ASE	PRC

Party		Votes	%	Swing	Seats	+/-
	Populares - Abeldane People's Party	19	47.50	-14.6	5 + 1	▼ 2
	Abeldane Social Ecology - The Green Labour Party	9	22.50	-1.6	2	▲ 1
	Liberty Front	7	17.50	+3.9	2 + 1
	Party of Royalists and Cooperatism	5	12.50	+12.5	1	▲ 1
Total		40	100.00	–	12

Invalid/blank votes		0	0	0	—
Registered voters/turnout		44	90.61	+32.61	—
Source: [ Reichswahlkommission Official Report]

Popular Vote

Populares			47.5%
Social Ecology			22.5%
Liberty Front			17.5%
Royalists			12.5%

Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)

Populares			55.5%
Social Ecology			22.2%
Liberty Front			22.2%
Royalists			11.1%

Reichsversammlung Seats (all)

Populares			50.00%
Liberty Front			25.00%
Social Ecology			16.67%
Royalists			8.33%

Members

Previous MP		Elected MP		Took office	Seat #
Elected
Nicholas Kaos	Populares	Nicholas Kaos	Populares	18 July 2017	1
Max Pollack	Populares	Max Pollack	Populares	4 May 2018	2
Nicholas Randouler	Populares	Nicholas Randouler	Populares	16 November 2018	3
Charlotte Katrínsdóttir	Populares	Charlotte Katrínsdóttir	Populares	2 December 2018	4
Richard Hytholoday	Populares	Sian von Uberquie	Social Ecology	1 July 2019	5
Tarik Kârjasary	Social Ecology	Jessika Ross	Social Ecology	1 July 2019	6
Nicolas Millan	Populares	Nicolas Millan	Royalists	6 January 2019	7
Ashley Jaax	Liberty Front	Ashley Jaax	Liberty Front	11 January 2019	8
Connor Stumperth	Liberty Front	Connor Stumperth	Liberty Front	4 February 2019	9
Nicholas Fisher	Populares	Nicholas Fisher	Populares	6 June 2019	10
Appointed
Edward Daniels	Liberty Front	Edward Daniels	Liberty Front	7 January 2019	11
Stephen Freayth	Populares	Stephen Freayth	Populares	16 June 2018	12

Opinion polls

Legislative

Pollster	Release	Sample	P	LF	ASE	ALNA	PRC	B	Other	Lead
Pollster	Release	Sample							Other	Lead
L'Sydunche	22-24 April 2019	11	54.5%	27.3%	18.2%	0%	-	-	-	27.2%
L'Sydunche	25-27 April 2019	13	53.8%	23.1%	23.1%	0%	-	-	-	30.7%
L'Sydunche	27-30 April 2019	11	54.5%	27.3%	18.2%	0%	-	-	-	27.2%
L'Sydunche	1-3 May 2019	11	45.5%	27.3%	27.3%	0%	-	-	-	18.2%
L'Sydunche	4-7 May 2019	12	58.3%	16.7%	16.7%	8.3%	-	-	-	41.6%
L'Sydunche	8-9 May 2019	16	56.3%	18.8%	18.8%	6.3%	-	-	-	37.5%
L'Sydunche	10-11 May 2019	11	54.5%	18.2%	27.3%	0%	-	-	-	27.2%
L'Sydunche	12-13 May 2019	9	55.6%	22.2%	22.2%	0%	-	-	-	33.4%
L'Sydunche	14-15 May 2019	11	45.5%	27.3%	27.3%	0%	-	-	-	18.2%
L'Sydunche	16-17 May 2019	12	41.7%	33.3%	16.7%	8.3%	-	-	-	8.4%
L'Sydunche	18-19 May 2019	14	42.9%	21.4%	14.3%	21.4%	-	-	-	21.5%
L'Sydunche	20-22 May 2019	12	41.7%	25.0%	16.7%	16.7%	-	-	-	16.7%
L'Sydunche	23-25 May 2019	11	45.5%	9.1%	36.4%	9.1%	-	-	-	9.1%
L'Sydunche	27-29 May 2019	21	57.1%	23.8%	14.3%	4.8%	-	-	-	33.3%
L'Sydunche	1 June 2019	17	47.1%	17.6%	23.5%	-	-	11.8%	-	23.6%
L'Sydunche	2 June 2019	21	52.4%	19.0%	9.5%	-	-	19.0%	-	33.4%
L'Sydunche	3-4 June 2019	23	43.5%	13.0%	17.4%	-	8.7%	17.4%	-	26.1%
L'Sydunche	5-6 June 2019	24	50.0%	16.7%	12.5%	-	4.2%	16.7%	-	33.3%
L'Sydunche	7-8 June 2019	17	52.9%	5.9%	11.8%	-	11.8%	17.6%	-	35.3%
L'Sydunche	9-10 June 2019	34	47.1%	11.8%	11.8%	-	2.9%	26.5%	-	20.6%
L'Sydunche	11-12 June 2019	31	32.3%	12.9%	16.1%	-	9.7%	29.0%	-	3.3%