Year 7 Atovian parliamentary election

Year 7 Atovian parliamentary election

31-35 Zehnat 07 (28 April - 2 May 2024)
All 5 seats in the House of Commons 3 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	44.8% ▼ 21.9 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Thomas von Bainbridge Rafe Hargreaves Esty Carpentieri Party New Democratic Centre Left-Green Leader since 21 August 2019 22 Achtat 07 37 Neunat 07 (25 March 2024) Last election 0.0% 58.3% (As CPP) 33.3% Seats won 2 2 0 Seat change ▲ 2 ▼ 1 ▼ 2 Percentage 38.5% 38.5% 7.7% Swing ▲ 38.5 pp ▼ 19.8 pp ▼ 25.6 pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Erich Thaller Party Fatherland Independent Leader since 28 September 2023 Last election New party Seats won 0 1 Seat change 0 Percentage 7.7% 7.7% Swing ▲ 7.7 pp
Prime Minister before election Tobey von Wyles Centre Elected Prime Minister Thomas von Bainbridge New Democratic

The Year 7 Atovian parliamentary election will take place from 31 to 35 Zehnat 07 (28 April - 2 May 2024) to elect the 7th House of Commons of the Kingdom of Atovia. The election was called in accordance with the Basic Law and will elect five Members of Parliament. The voting system used according to the Basic Law is the single transferable vote and members are elected in a multi-seat at-large electorate.

Background

The Conservative People's Party has held a majority in the House since the 2022 parliamentary election. Tobey von Wyles was the prime minister until his resignation.

The Minister of Internal Affairs announced the dates of the election on 26 Achtat 07 (8 February 2024). A Royal Edict was promulgated shortly afterwards defining the exact methods for counting ballots in parliamentary elections and introducing a requirement that candidates be approved by the political party under which they are running for office, or by a small number of citizens if the candidate is running as an independent.

Electoral system

Members of the House of Commons will be elected by single transferable vote (STV) from a single at-large electorate with five seats. Voters complete a ballot, listing candidates in order of their preference. Voters may mark as many or as few preferences as they wish. The ballots are then counted by computer under supervision of the Minister of Internal Affairs and the candidates standing for election. Each ballot is initially credited to its first-preference candidate but may be transferred on later counts using Meek's method to the next available preference where the first preference candidate is elected or eliminated.

Campaign

The campaign began on 26 Achtat 07 (8 February 2024) when the Minister of Internal Affairs announced the dates for the election. The House of Commons was prorogued one month before the election began. Nomination of candidates closed on 30 Neunat 07 (18 March 2024). At the end of the nomination period, there were six candidates:

Polling

Opinion polls on voting intentions are conducted regularly by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and by other media and polling firms. The chart below depicts the results of opinion polls since the announcement of the election.

File:Atovia Opinion Polls 07P.png

Poll data is listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's color. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.

Polling Firm	Date	Sample Size	CP	LGM	NDP	NFPA	IND	Lead
Year 7 Parliamentary Election	31-35 Zehnat 07 (28 April - 2 May 2024)	—	38.5%	7.7%	38.5%	7.7%	7.7%	Tie
Ministry of Internal Affairs	30 Neunat 07 (18 March 2024)	4	25.0%	0.0%	75.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50.0%
Ministry of Internal Affairs	25 Neunat 07 (13 March 2024)	3	33.3%	0.0%	66.6%	0.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Ministry of Internal Affairs	20 Neunat 07 (8 March 2024)	7	28.6%	14.3%	42.9%	0.0%	14.3%	14.3%
Ministry of Internal Affairs	15 Neunat 07 (3 March 2024)	8	25.0%	12.5%	37.5%	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Ministry of Internal Affairs	10 Neunat 07 (27 February 2024)	11	36.4%	9.1%	45.5%	9.1%	0.0%	9.1%
Chase von Mahoning	30 Fünat 07 (25 October 2023)	8	25.0%	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%
2023 Parliamentary Election	16-20 Zehnat 06 (14-18 April 2023)	—	58.3%	33.3%	—	—	8.3%	25.0%

Results

↓
2	1	2
New Democratic Party	Independent	Centre Party

Polls opened at 00:01 UTC on 31 Zehnat (28 April) and closed at 23:59 UTC on 35 Zehnat (2 May). The turnout was 44.8%. The New Democratic Party regained a majority in the House after two years with no representation. Both New Democratic candidates and both Centre candidates were elected, as well as one independent.

House of Commons
1 Erstat 08

Party			%	Swing	Seats	Change
	New Democratic Party		38.5	▲ 38.5	2	▲ 2
	Conservative People's Party		38.5	▼ 19.8	2	▼ 1
	Left-Green Movement		7.7	▼ 25.6	0	▼ 2
	National Fatherland Party		7.7	▲   7.7	0	0
	Independent		7.7	—	1	—
Total			100.1	–	5	0
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs

First-Preference Vote
NDP			38.5%
CP			38.5%
LGM			7.7%
NFPA			7.7%
IND			7.7%

Total Seats
NDP			40.0%
CP			40.0%
IND			20.0%
Vacant			0.0%

Government formation

During the campaign phase of the election, the Independent candidate Max promised the New Democratic Party confidence and supply in a future government. When the results came back, this agreement was used to secure a majority in the House for Prime Minister Thomas von Bainbridge and his New Democratic Party. A government was formed and appointed shortly after the results were published by the Minister of Internal Affairs.