Posafian federal election, May 2020

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Posafian federal election, May 2020

← 2020 general May 3–14, 2020 2020 II →

12-3
  First party Second party Third party
  Henry edwelo2.png CourtneyAnnalou.png GraceKonn.png
Leader Henry Edwelo Courtney Annalou Grace Konn
Party Posaf-Green Conservative New Democrats
Leader since September 2019 November 2019 February 2020
Leader's seat Squamily Squamily Squamily
Last election 24.00% 38.00% 10.00%
Seats before 5 + 1 4 + 1 1
Seats won 7 + 1[N 1] 3 + 1 1 + 1
Seat change 2 1 1
Popular vote 20 15 6
Percentage 37.04% 27.78% 11.12%
Swing 13.04pp 10.22pp 1.12pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
BK
Leon Montan.jpeg OwenEdwelsonAvatar.png
Leader Parker O'Leary Leon Montan Owen Edwelson
Party Buck Labor Hope
Leader since April 2018 February 2020 October 2019
Leader's seat Squamily West Posaf Essex
Last election 12.00% New Party 2.00%
Seats before 1 + 1 New Party 0
Seats won 1 0 0
Seat change 1 0
Popular vote 4 4 1
Percentage 7.41% 7.41% 1.85%
Swing 4.59pp 7.41pp 0.15pp

Higher Lord before election

Courtney Annalou
Conservative

Higher Lord after election

Henry Edwelo
Posaf-Green

The Posafian federal election, May 2020 (formally the 5th Posafian federal election) took place from the 3rd to the 14th of May 2020, as per Section V in the Constitituon. The campaigning period is set to take place for 2 weeks before the opening of polls on the 20th of April. This election will decide both legislatures, and local assemblies and leaders. The election was extended two days by the Higher Lords Election Committee due to the various ties in the Foreign sector. The election saw Henry Edwelo becoming the Higher Lord with a Posaf-Green Party majority government in the Kadelieort.

The Posaf-Green Party, led by the incumbent Lower Lord Henry Edwelo, won 7 seats to form a majority government which is up from the 5 seats they had in the previous Kadelieort. In the 2020 general election the Liberal Party won 3 seats and won a fourth 2 weeks later in a by-election while gaining one more after the Green Party merged into the Liberals. The Posaf-Green won the popular vote to the Conservatives which is the first time the Conservative have not tied or won the popular vote in a federal election. The New Democrats lost its seat in the Squamily sector but gained the new seat in the Foreign sector. The NDP did get the third most votes and gained a seat in the House of Commons as the Buck Party came fourth in the popular vote.

Background

The Posafian federal election, May 2020 is the second elections to take place in 2020, traditionally starting on the second of the month as Founders Day is, and ending on 12 May 2020. Elections to the Kadelieort are possibly up to eleven seats adding another in the Foreign Sector. Local elections will be occurring documented in this election in Nievenorte, Essex and Squamily along with the first-ever election in Asiata.

With the rise of Progressivism in Posaf and the merger of the Liberals an the Greens the election is seen and predicted to be an upset for the Conservatives who have historically won the plurality of the vote sense 2018. Early polling in Squamily showed the Posaf-Greens had a larger lead however it has evened out. Due to the population boom of Nievenorte and Asiata a fourth seat is added making the total number of seats in the House of Commons 12.

Poster promoting to vote no on Issue 1

Issue 1

Issue 1 on the May general election ballot features the Unicameral Election Day Referendum Bill, written by Emily Smith (Buck). The Bill is an Issue Bill by the Constitution which adds a question for voters to decide a law or ask direction for a law. Issue 1 asks voters if they want parliament to pursue a unicameral form of government, with an option of yes or no. The topic is popular amongst progressives in Posaf, that many progressives and their parties avidly support and believe in.

The main party only opposing is the Conservatives and factions of the Posaf-Greens (the former Liberal side), and a large portion of the NDP. The party mainly supporting Issue 1 are the Bucks, with the Posaf-Greens (the former Green side), and a faction of the NDP. The Conservatives and some Posaf-Green members actively campaigned against it while the Buck Party did not.

Campaign

Buck

Conservative

Posaf-Green

NDP

Other Parties

Posters

Opinion polls

Higher Lord and House of Commons

Pollster Release Sample PG
Edwelo
C
Annalou
B
O'Leary
NDP
Konn
Other Undecided
The Press 27-4-2020 14 35.7% 28.6% 7.1% 21.4% 7.1%
Squamily Times 28-4-2020 12 33.3% 25.0% 16.6% 16.6% 8.3%
The Press 29-4-2020 13 30.7% 30.7% 15.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7%
Squamily Times 30-4-2020 15 26.6% 33.3% 20.0% 13.3% 6.6% 0.0%
Squamily Times 2-5-2020 17 35.2% 29.4% 17.8% 11.7% 5.8% 0.0%

Issue 1

Pollster Release Sample Yes No Undecided
The Press 27-4-2020 14 42.9% 35.7% 21.4%
The Press 29-4-2020 13 38.4% 38.4% 23.2%

Endorsments

For Buck

For Conservative:

For NDP

For Posaf-Green

Results

Legislative

Legislative elections were held on 4 January 2020 through January 13, 2020, and allowed eleven seats in the Kadelieort to be elected using a party list - Jefferson method. A new seat was to be given to the Foreign sector, as the population grew over 25% in Nievenorte. Similarly, a seat was gained in the Squamily sector, but this was in part due to the United sector losing one of their seats.

Party Leader Votes % Seats
Commons
+/– Seats
Lords
+/–
Posaf-Green Henry Edwelo 20 37.04% 7 2 1
Conservative Courtney Annalou 15 11.12% 3 1 1
New Democrats Grace Konn 6 10.00% 1 1 1
Buck Parker O'Leary 4 7.41% 1 0 1
Labor Leon Montan 4 7.41% 0 0
Hope Owen Edwelson 1 1.85% 0 0
Social Democratic Lacy Mass-Hall 1 1.85% 0 0
Squamily Trees Justin Donamana 1 1.85% 0 0
True Green Anna Williams 4 1.85% 0 0
Popular Vote
Posaf-Green
  
37.04%
Conservative
  
27.78%
New Democrats
  
11.12%
Bucks
  
7.41%
Labor
  
7.41%
Hope
  
1.85%
Social Democratic
  
1.85%
Squamily Trees
  
1.85%
True Green
  
1.85%
Abstain
  
0.00%
Kadelieort Seats
Posaf-Green
  
53.34%
Conservative
  
26.67%
New Democrats
  
13.34%
Bucks
  
6.67%
Labor
  
0.00%
Hope
  
0.00%
Social Democratic
  
0.00%
Squamily Trees
  
0.00%
True Green
  
0.00%
Abstain
  
0.00%

Elected members

House of Commons
Sector Elected MP Party Administrative Region
Foreign Daniel Lee Conservative Nievenorte
Tomáš Falešník New Democrats Nievenorte
Austin Jaax Posaf-Green Nievenorte
Nicolás Millán Asiata
Squamily Parker O'Leary Buck Squamily
Rose Danen Conservative Squamily
Henry Rydina Squamily
Nour Shamon Posaf-Green Squamily
Diä Jones-Woodard Squamily
Delana Jeari Squamily
David Hernandez Squamily
United Andrew West Essex

House of Lords
Sector Appointed MP Party Administrative Region Notes
Squamily Henry Edwelo Posaf-Green Squamily Higher Lord
Squamily Courtney Annalou Conservative Squamily Lower Lord
Squamily Grace Konn New Democrats Squamily Monarchical Representative

Notes

  1. The plus 1 indicates the House of Lords seat gained.

References