Posafian federal election, May 2020

Posafian federal election, May 2020

May 3–14, 2020
12-3
First party Second party Third party   Leader Henry Edwelo Courtney Annalou Grace Konn Party Posaf-Green Conservative New Democrats Leader since September 2019 November 2019 February 2020 Leader's seat Squamily Squamily Squamily Last election 24.00% 38.00% 10.00% Seats before 5 + 1 4 + 1 1 Seats won 7 + 1 3 + 1 1 + 1 Seat change ▲2 ▼1 ▲1 Popular vote 20 15 6 Percentage 37.04% 27.78% 11.12% Swing ▲13.04pp ▼10.22pp ▲1.12pp   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   BK File:Leon Montan with Six Montan.jpg Leader Parker O'Leary Leon Montan Owen Edwelson Party Buck Labor Hope Leader since April 2018 February 2020 October 2019 Leader's seat Squamily West Posaf Essex Last election 12.00% New Party 2.00% Seats before 1 + 1 New Party 0 Seats won 1 0 0 Seat change ▼1 0 Popular vote 4 4 1 Percentage 7.41% 7.41% 1.85% Swing ▼4.59pp ▲7.41pp ▼0.15pp
Higher Lord before election Courtney Annalou Conservative Party (Posaf) Higher Lord after election Henry Edwelo Posaf-Green

The Posafian federal election, May 2020 (formally the 5th Posafian federal election) took place from the 3rd to the 14th of May 2020, as per Section V in the Constitituon. The campaigning period is set to take place for 2 weeks before the opening of polls on the 20th of April. This election will decide both legislatures, and local assemblies and leaders. The election was extended two days by the Higher Lords Election Committee due to the various ties in the Foreign sector. The election saw Henry Edwelo becoming the Higher Lord with a Posaf-Green Party majority government in the Kadelieort.

The Posaf-Green Party, led by the incumbent Lower Lord Henry Edwelo, won 7 seats to form a majority government which is up from the 5 seats they had in the previous Kadelieort. In the 2020 general election the Liberal Party won 3 seats and won a fourth 2 weeks later in a by-election while gaining one more after the Green Party merged into the Liberals. The Posaf-Green won the popular vote to the Conservatives which is the first time the Conservative have not tied or won the popular vote in a federal election. The New Democrats lost its seat in the Squamily sector but gained the new seat in the Foreign sector. The NDP did get the third most votes and gained a seat in the House of Commons as the Buck Party came fourth in the popular vote.

Background

The Posafian federal election, May 2020 is the second elections to take place in 2020, traditionally starting on the second of the month as Founders Day is, and ending on 12 May 2020. Elections to the Kadelieort are possibly up to eleven seats adding another in the Foreign Sector. Local elections will be occurring documented in this election in Nievenorte, Essex and Squamily along with the first-ever election in Asiata.

With the rise of Progressivism in Posaf and the merger of the Liberals an the Greens the election is seen and predicted to be an upset for the Conservatives who have historically won the plurality of the vote sense 2018. Early polling in Squamily showed the Posaf-Greens had a larger lead however it has evened out. Due to the population boom of Nievenorte and Asiata a fourth seat is added making the total number of seats in the House of Commons 12.

Poster promoting to vote no on Issue 1

Issue 1

Issue 1 on the May general election ballot features the Unicameral Election Day Referendum Bill, written by Emily Smith (Buck). The Bill is an Issue Bill by the Constitution which adds a question for voters to decide a law or ask direction for a law. Issue 1 asks voters if they want parliament to pursue a unicameral form of government, with an option of yes or no. The topic is popular amongst progressives in Posaf, that many progressives and their parties avidly support and believe in.

The main party only opposing is the Conservatives and factions of the Posaf-Greens (the former Liberal side), and a large portion of the NDP. The party mainly supporting Issue 1 are the Bucks, with the Posaf-Greens (the former Green side), and a faction of the NDP. The Conservatives and some Posaf-Green members actively campaigned against it while the Buck Party did not.

Campaign

Posters

• 

  Buck Poster

• 

  Conservative Poster

• 

  NDP Poster

• 

  Posaf-Green Poster

• 

  Hope Poster

• 

  Labor Poster

Opinion polls

Higher Lord and House of Commons

Pollster	Release	Sample	PG Edwelo	C Annalou	B O'Leary	NDP Konn	Other	Undecided
The Press	27-4-2020	14	35.7%	28.6%	7.1%	21.4%	7.1%	‒
Squamily Times	28-4-2020	12	33.3%	25.0%	16.6%	16.6%	8.3%	‒
The Press	29-4-2020	13	30.7%	30.7%	15.3%	7.7%	7.7%	7.7%
Squamily Times	30-4-2020	15	26.6%	33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	6.6%	0.0%
Squamily Times	2-5-2020	17	35.2%	29.4%	17.8%	11.7%	5.8%	0.0%

Issue 1

Pollster	Release	Sample	Yes	No	Undecided
The Press	27-4-2020	14	42.9%	35.7%	21.4%
The Press	29-4-2020	13	38.4%	38.4%	23.2%

Endorsments

For Buck

• Evan Rydina (Mayor of Turtle City)

For Conservative:

• Prince Nicholas I (Monarch of Posaf)
• Henry Rydina (Former Monarch)
• Nathan Michaeve (President of Quietrock)

For NDP

• Maria Lynnae (3rd Higher Lord, 2018)
• Cheyenne Denver (2020 Cylete)
• Tomáš Falešník (Premier of the Gymnasium State)

For Posaf-Green

• Diä Jones-Woodard (MGA of Squamily)
• Abby Batalia (Queen of Phyrria)
• Lord Matthew (MP in Essexia)

Results

Legislative

Legislative elections were held on 4 January 2020 through January 13, 2020, and allowed eleven seats in the Kadelieort to be elected using a party list - Jefferson method. A new seat was to be given to the Foreign sector, as the population grew over 25% in Nievenorte. Similarly, a seat was gained in the Squamily sector, but this was in part due to the United sector losing one of their seats.

Party		Leader	Votes	%	Seats Commons	+/–	Seats Lords	+/–
	Posaf-Green	Henry Edwelo	20	37.04%	7	▲2	1
	Conservative	Courtney Annalou	15	11.12%	3	▼1	1
	New Democrats	Grace Konn	6	10.00%	1		1	▲1
	Buck	Parker O'Leary	4	7.41%	1		0	▼1
	Labor	Leon Montan	4	7.41%	0		0
	Hope	Owen Edwelson	1	1.85%	0		0
	Social Democratic	Lacy Mass-Hall	1	1.85%	0		0
	Squamily Trees	Justin Donamana	1	1.85%	0		0
	True Green	Anna Williams	4	1.85%	0		0

Popular Vote
Posaf-Green			37.04%
Conservative			27.78%
New Democrats			11.12%
Bucks			7.41%
Labor			7.41%
Hope			1.85%
Social Democratic			1.85%
Squamily Trees			1.85%
True Green			1.85%
Abstain			0.00%

Kadelieort Seats
Posaf-Green			53.34%
Conservative			26.67%
New Democrats			13.34%
Bucks			6.67%
Labor			0.00%
Hope			0.00%
Social Democratic			0.00%
Squamily Trees			0.00%
True Green			0.00%
Abstain			0.00%

Elected members

House of Commons
Sector	Elected MP	Party		Administrative Region
Foreign	Daniel Lee		Conservative	Nievenorte
	Tomáš Falešník		New Democrats	Nievenorte
	Ashley Jaax		Posaf-Green	Nievenorte
	Nicolás Millán			Asiata
Squamily	Parker O'Leary		Buck	Squamily
	Rose Danen		Conservative	Squamily
	Henry Rydina			Squamily
	Nour Shamon		Posaf-Green	Squamily
	Diä Jones-Woodard			Squamily
	Delana Jeari			Squamily
	David Hernandez			Squamily
United	Andrew West			Essex

House of Lords
Sector	Appointed MP	Party		Administrative Region	Notes
Squamily	Henry Edwelo		Posaf-Green	Squamily	Higher Lord
Squamily	Courtney Annalou		Conservative	Squamily	Lower Lord
Squamily	Grace Konn		New Democrats	Squamily	Monarchical Representative