Posafian general election, January 2020

Posafian general election, January 2020

January 2–12, 2020
Turnout	▼76.8%
First party Second party Third party   Leader Courtney Annalou Henry Edwelo Emma O'Brian Party Conservative Liberal New Democrats Leader since November 2019 September 2019 January 2020 (acting) Leader's seat Squamily Squamily Squamily Last election 34% 16% 32% Seats before 5 2 2 Seats won 4 3 1 Seat change ▼1 ▲1 ▼1 Popular vote 19 12 5 Percentage 38.0% 24.0%▲ 10.0 Swing ▼4.0pp ▲8.0pp ▼22.0pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Party Buck Green Leader since April 2018 November 2019
Higher Lord before election Nicholas Randouler Conservative Higher Lord after election Courtney Annalou Conservative

The Posafian general election, January 2020 (formally the 3rd Posafian general election) will take place from the 2nd to the 12th of January 2020, as per Section V in the Constitituon. The campaigning period is set to take place for 2 weeks before Founders Day on the 19th of December. This election will decide both legislatures, the Monarch and local assemblies and leaders.

Background

The Posafian general election, January 2020 is the first elections to take place in 2020, traditionally starting on Founders Day and ending on 12 January 2020. Elections to the Kadelieort are possibly up to eleven seats adding another in the Foreign Sector. Local elections will be first documented in this election.

Primaries for the election are set to take place between 30 November and 9 December 2019. The Conservative parties Nicholas Randouler is stepping down as Higher Lord Leader and is speculated to run for Monarch, as the incumbent Prince Henry II is term-limited. The Liberal Party is set to stay the same with many speculating for a Monarch run, similarly with the NDP. Smaller parties such as the Bucks plan to get a new Higher Lord Leader and have the incumbent Higher Lord leader (Parker O'Leary) run for Monarch.

Roberave leadership scandal

Main article: Konn et al. v. Roberave

Opinion polls

Monarchial

Pollster	Release	Sample	Henry Rydina	Grace Konn	HRH Delana	Jenna MacRonn	Owen Edwelson	Nathan Michaeve	Undecided
Posaf Press	30-11-2018	19	57.9%	21.1%	5.3%	5.3%	5.3%	0%	5.3%
Posaf Press	7-12-2018	17	47.1%	5.9%	17.6%	5.9%	5.9%	11.8%	5.9%
Green Papers	15-12-2018	11	27.3%	9.1%	36.4%	9.1%	0%	9.1%	9.1%
Squamily Times	29-12-2018	16	43.8%	6.3%	18.8%	18.8%	0%	6.3%	6.3%

Higher Lord and House of Commons

Pollster	Release	Sample	Conservative Randouler	NDP Konn	Liberal Edwelo	Buck O'Leary	Green Diä J.W.	Other	Undecided
Squamily Times	18-11-2019	13	30.76%	23.07%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	0%	7.69%
Squamily Times	21-11-2019	15	26.66%	20.00%	20.00%	13.33%	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
The Press	23-11-2019	13	28.57%	21.42%	21.42%	7.14%	14.28%	7.14%	–
Squamily Times	24-11-2019	12	33.33%	25.00%	16.66%	8.33%	16.66%	–	0%
Squamily Times	27-11-2019	16	31.25%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	–	0%

Endorsments

For Conservative:

• Prince Henry II (Monarch of Posaf, 2018–present)
• Courtney Annalou (Former Monarch, 2018)

For Liberal

• Prince Henry I (Former Monarch, 2018)

For NDP

• Maria Lynnae (3rd Higher Lord, 2018)

Results

Monarchial

With a voter turnout of 86.15%, 56 people voted in the first round of elections from 2 January to 4 January March. Incumbent Higher Lord, Nicholas Randouler of the Conservative and incumbent MP from Squamily and Posafian History School, Nour Shamon of the Liberal both advanced to the second round of elections on 4 January. In the first round, Randouler earned 15% of the votes compared to Nour's 21%.

Polls during the second round of voting predicted that Randouler would win with a 4% to 6% margin of the votes. However, he won with 14% over Shamon. This was in part due to most of the foreign sector (Asiata, Nievenorte, and Wasat) voting for him, as he is one of the few Squamilanians to be present on the Psoafian Discord Server. Randouler won 54% to 40% out of 50 voters across the nation.

Candidate		Party	First round		Second round
			Votes	%	Votes	%
	Nicholas Randouler	Conservative	13	25.0	27	54.0
	Nour Shamon	Liberal	11	21.2	20	40.0
	Jenna MacRonn	New Democrats	8	15.4
	Parker O'Leary	Buck	7	15.5
	Katherine King	Green	4	7.7
	Owen Edwelson	Hope	3	5.8
	Zabëlle Skye	Conservative	2	3.8
	Delana, Duchess of Squamily	Liberal	1	1.9
	Maria Lynnae	New Democrats	1	1.9
	Lacy Mass-Hall	Social Democratic	1	1.9
	Emily Smith	Buck	1	1.9
Source: House of Lord Election Comittee Second round

Higher Lord and House of Commons

Legislative elections were held on 4 January 2020 through January 13, 2020, and allowed eleven seats in the Kadelieort to be elected using a party list - Jefferson method. A new seat was to be given to the Foreign sector, as the population grew over 25% in Nievenorte. Similarly, a seat was gained in the Squamily sector, but this was in part due to the United sector losing one of their seats.

Party		Leader	Votes	%	Seats	+/–
	Conservative	Courtney Annalou	19	38.00%	4	▼1
	Liberal	Henry Edwelo	12	24.00%	3	▲1
	Buck	Parker O'Leary	6	12.00%	1
	New Democrats	Emma O'Brian (acting)	5	10.00%	1	▼1
	Green	Diä Jones-Woodard	4	8.00%	1	▲1
	Hope	Owen Edwelson	1	2.00%	0
	Social Democratic	Lacy Mass-Hall	1	2.00%	0
	Squamily Trees	Justin Donamana	1	2.00%	0
	People's	Krismken Konvon	0	0.00%	0

Popular Vote
Conservative			38.00%
Liberal			24.00%
Bucks			12.00%
New Democrats			10.00%
Green			8.00%
Hope			2%
Social Democratic			2.00%
Squamily Trees			2.00%
People's			0.00%
Abstain			2.00%

House of Commons Seats
Conservative			36.36%
Liberal			27.27%
Bucks			9.09%
New Democrats			9.09%
Green			9.09%
Hope			0.00%
Social Democratic			0.00%
Squamily Trees			0.00%
People's			0.00%

Sector	Elected MP	Party		Administrative Region
Foreign	Zabëlle Skye		Conservative	Nievenorte
	Ashley Jaax		Green	Nievenorte
	Undecided		Undecided	Undecided
Squamily	Emily Smith		Buck	Squamily
	Rose Danen		Conservative	Squamily
	Henry Rydina			Turtle City
	Nour Shamon		Liberal	Squamily
	Delana Jeari			Squamily
	David Hernandez			Squamily
	Grant Roberave		New Democrats	Squamily
United	Andy Irons		Conservative	West Posaf