Posafian general election, January 2020

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Posafian general election, January 2020
← 2019 III January 2–12, 2020 2020 II →
Turnout76.8%
  First party Second party Third party
  CourtneyAnnalou.png Henry edwelo.png JennaMacRonn.png
Leader Courtney Annalou Henry Edwelo Emma O'Brian
Party Conservative Liberal New Democrats
Leader since November 2019 September 2019 January 2020 (acting)
Leader's seat Squamily Squamily Squamily
Last election 34% 16% 32%
Seats before 5 2 2
Seats won 4 3 1
Seat change 1 1 1
Popular vote 19 12 5
Percentage 38.0% 24.0% 10.0
Swing 4.0pp 8.0pp 22.0pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
  BuckPartyop.png GPoP.png
Party Buck Green
Leader since April 2018 November 2019

Higher Lord before election

Nicholas Randouler
Conservative

Higher Lord after election

Courtney Annalou
Conservative

The Posafian general election, January 2020 (formally the 3rd Posafian general election) will take place from the 2nd to the 12th of January 2020, as per Section V in the Constitituon. The campaigning period is set to take place for 2 weeks before Founders Day on the 19th of December. This election will decide both legislatures, the Monarch and local assemblies and leaders.

Background

The Posafian general election, January 2020 is the first elections to take place in 2020, traditionally starting on Founders Day and ending on 12 January 2020. Elections to the Kadelieort are possibly up to eleven seats adding another in the Foreign Sector. Local elections will be first documented in this election.

Primaries for the election are set to take place between 30 November and 9 December of 2019. The Conservative parties Nicholas Randouler is stepping down as Higher Lord Leader and is speculated to run for Monarch, as the incumbent Prince Henry II is term-limited. The Liberal Party is set to stay the same with many speculating for a Monarch run, similarly with the NDP. Smaller parties such as the Bucks plan to get a new Higher Lord Leader and have the incumbent Higher Lord leader (Parker O'Leary) run for Monarch.

Roberave leadership scandal

Campaign

Buck

Conservative

Green

Liberal

NDP

Other Parties

Posters

Opinion polls

Monarchial

Pollster Release Sample Henry Rydina Grace Konn HRH Delana Jenna MacRonn Owen Edwelson Nathan Michaeve Undecided
Posaf Press 30-11-2018 19 57.9% 21.1% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 0% 5.3%
Posaf Press 7-12-2018 17 47.1% 5.9% 17.6% 5.9% 5.9% 11.8% 5.9%
Green Papers 15-12-2018 11 27.3% 9.1% 36.4% 9.1% 0% 9.1% 9.1%
Squamily Times 29-12-2018 16 43.8% 6.3% 18.8% 18.8% 0% 6.3% 6.3%

Higher Lord and House of Commons

Pollster Release Sample Conservative
Randouler
NDP
Konn
Liberal
Edwelo
Buck
O'Leary
Green
Diä J.W.
Other Undecided
Squamily Times 18-11-2019 13 30.76% 23.07% 15.38% 15.38% 7.69% 0% 7.69%
Squamily Times 21-11-2019 15 26.66% 20.00% 20.00% 13.33% 6.66% 6.66% 6.66%
The Press 23-11-2019 13 28.57% 21.42% 21.42% 7.14% 14.28% 7.14%
Squamily Times 24-11-2019 12 33.33% 25.00% 16.66% 8.33% 16.66% 0%
Squamily Times 27-11-2019 16 31.25% 31.25% 25.00% 6.25% 18.75% 0%

Endorsments

For Conservative:

For Liberal

  • Prince Henry I (Former Monarch, 2018)

For NDP

Results

Monarchial

With a voter turnout of 86.15%, 56 people voted in the first round of elections from 2 January to 4 January March. Incumbent Higher Lord, Nicholas Randouler of the Conservative and incumbent MP from Squamily and Posafian History School, Nour Shamon of the Liberal both advanced to the second round of elections on 4 January. In the first round, Randouler earned 15% of the votes compared to Nour's 21%.

Polls during the second round of voting predicted that Randouler would win with a 4% to 6% margin of the votes. However, he won with 14% over Shamon. This was in part due to most of the foreign sector (Asiata, Nievenorte, and Wasat) voting for him, as he is one of the few Squamilanians to be present on the Psoafian Discord Server. Randouler won 54% to 40% out of 50 voters across the nation.

Candidate Party First round Second round
Votes % Votes %
Nicholas Randouler Conservative 13 25.0 27 54.0
Nour Shamon Liberal 11 21.2 20 40.0
Jenna MacRonn New Democrats 8 15.4
Parker O'Leary Buck 7 15.5
Katherine King Green 4 7.7
Owen Edwelson Hope 3 5.8
Zarel Smith Conservative 2 3.8
Delana, Duchess of Squamily Liberal 1 1.9
Maria Lynnae New Democrats 1 1.9
Lacy Mass-Hall Social Democratic 1 1.9
Emily Smith Buck 1 1.9
Source: House of Lord Election Comittee Second round

Higher Lord and House of Commons

Legislative elections were held on 4 January 2020 through January 13, 2020, and allowed eleven seats in the Kadelieort to be elected using a party list - Jefferson method. A new seat was to be given to the Foreign sector, as the population grew over 25% in Nievenorte. Similarly, a seat was gained in the Squamily sector, but this was in part due to the United sector losing one of their seats.

Party Leader Votes % Seats +/–
Conservative Courtney Annalou 19 38.00% 4 1
Liberal Henry Edwelo 12 24.00% 3 1
Buck Parker O'Leary 6 12.00% 1
New Democrats Emma O'Brian (acting) 5 10.00% 1 1
Green Diä Jones-Woodard 4 8.00% 1 1
Hope Owen Edwelson 1 2.00% 0
Social Democratic Lacy Mass-Hall 1 2.00% 0
Squamily Trees Justin Donamana 1 2.00% 0
People's Krismken Konvon 0 0.00% 0
Popular Vote
Conservative
  
38.00%
Liberal
  
24.00%
Bucks
  
12.00%
New Democrats
  
10.00%
Green
  
8.00%
Hope
  
2%
Social Democratic
  
2.00%
Squamily Trees
  
2.00%
People's
  
0.00%
Abstain
  
2.00%
House of Commons Seats
Conservative
  
36.36%
Liberal
  
27.27%
Bucks
  
9.09%
New Democrats
  
9.09%
Green
  
9.09%
Hope
  
0.00%
Social Democratic
  
0.00%
Squamily Trees
  
0.00%
People's
  
0.00%
Sector Elected MP Party Administrative Region
Foreign Zarel Smith Conservative Nievenorte
Austin Jaax Green Nievenorte
Undecided Undecided Undecided
Squamily Emily Smith Buck Squamily
Rose Danen Conservative Squamily
Henry Rydina Turtle City
Nour Shamon Liberal Squamily
Delana Jeari Squamily
David Hernandez Squamily
Grant Roberave New Democrats Squamily
United Andy Irons Conservative West Posaf

Other offices

References