Opinion polling for the Vatolean general election, 2020
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In the run-up to the 2020 Vatish general election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Vatolean.
Party Vote
Graphical summary
The graph shows trend lines averaged across all polls for political parties.
Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Poll type | Green | Royalist | SDP | Undecided | Lead | Red | Blue |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BNN Projection | 19 May 2020 | 11-19 May 2020 | First Preference | 25.5% | 33.8% | 45.7% | - | 14.9% | 66.2% | 33.8% |
Final Result | 29.5% | 30.4% | 40.1% | - | 9.7% | 69.8% | 30.4% | |||
Election Predictions | 16 May 2020 | 11-16 May 2020 | First Preference | 16.1% | 43.5% | 40.3% | - | 3.2% | 55.7% | 44.3% |
Final Result | 20.9% | 34.3% | 44.8% | - | 10.5% | 65.7% | 34.3% | |||
Vinland News | 15 May 2020 | 15 May 2020 | First Preference | 20% | 53.3% | 26.7% | - | 26.6% | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Final Result | 21.7% | 48.3% | 26.7% | - | 21.6% | 51.7% | 48.3% | |||
Flagspert | 15 May 2020 | 11-15 May 2020 | First Preference | 20.1% | 31.2% | 48.5% | - | 17.3% | 68.8% | 31.2% |
Final Result | 29.3% | 23.9% | 46.9% | - | 15.6% | 76.1% | 23.9% | |||
DNN | 14 May 2020 | 14 May 2020 | First Preference | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | - | 16.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
Individual polls
Prediction (Not a poll but a Forecast)
On the day Poll (Asking people how they would or have voted)
Exit poll
Forecast (Forecast of the Final Result)
Polling Firm/Link | Fieldwork
Period |
Sample Size | Poll type | Green | Royalist | SDP | Ventre | Communist | Pirate | Others /
Don't know |
Lead | Red | Blue |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Result on Election Night | - | 22 | First Preference | - | - | - | - | ||||||
Final Result | - | - | - | - | |||||||||
BNN Forecast | 23 May 2020 at 10:34pm | BNN projected a Minority Government | |||||||||||
DNN Forecast | 23 May 2020 at 10:09pm | DNN projected a Minority Government | |||||||||||
DNN Exit poll | TBA | TBA | First Preference | - | - | - | - | ||||||
Final Result | - | - | - | - | |||||||||
BNN Exit poll | 15-23 May 2020 | 27 | First Preference | 18.5% | 25.9% | 55.6% | - | - | - | - | 29.3% | 74.1% | 25.9% |
Final Result | 26.6% | 28.8% | 44.6% | - | - | - | - | 15.8% | 71.2% | 28.8% | |||
23 May 2020 | Polling day in Vatolean | ||||||||||||
BNN On the day Poll | 23 May 2020 | Prediction | First Preference | 10% | 30% | 60% | - | - | - | - | 30% | 70% | 30% |
Final Result | 20% | 35% | 45% | - | - | - | - | 10% | 65% | 35% | |||
22 May 2020 | Electoral Commission reports about 77% of voters voted before election day | ||||||||||||
BNN | 22 May 2020 | 11 | First Preference | 18.2% | 45.5% | 36.4% | - | - | - | - | 9.1% | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Final Result | 30.7% | 33.3% | 36% | - | - | - | - | 2.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% | |||
BNN | 21 May 2020 | 9 | First Preference | 22.2% | 33.3% | 44.4% | - | - | - | - | 11.1% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
Final Result | 22% | 33.9% | 40.1% | - | - | - | - | 6.2% | 66.1% | 33.9% | |||
BNN | 20 May 2020 | 10 | First Preference | 20% | 40% | 40% | - | - | - | - | Tie | 60% | 40% |
Final Result | 30.1% | 33.9% | 35.5% | - | - | - | - | 1.6% | 66.1% | 33.9% | |||
Vinland News | 19 May 2020 | 11 | First Preference | 18.2% | 54.6% | 27.3% | - | - | - | - | 27.3% | 45.4% | 54.6% |
Final Result | 28.6% | 39.0% | 32.5% | - | - | - | - | 6.5% | 61.0% | 39.0% | |||
BNN | 19 May 2020 | 7 | First Preference | 28.6% | 28.6% | 48.7% | - | - | - | - | 20.1% | 71.4% | 28.6% |
Final Result | 36.7% | 28.6% | 34.7% | - | - | - | - | 2.0% | 71.4% | 28.6% | |||
BNN | 18 May 2020 | 9 | First Preference | 11.1% | 44.4% | 44.4% | - | - | - | - | Tie | 56.6% | 44.4% |
Final Result | 29.7% | 34.4% | 35.9% | - | - | - | - | 1.5% | 65.6% | 34.4% | |||
16 May 2020 | Electoral Commission reports about 42% of voters early voted | ||||||||||||
BNN | 16 May 2020 | 9 | First Preference | 22.2% | 44.4% | 33.3% | - | - | - | - | 11.1% | 56.6% | 44.4% |
Final Result | 25% | 37.5% | 37.5% | - | - | - | - | Tie | 62.5% | 37.5% | |||
16 May 2020 | Parliament Votes 3-1 to increase the number of seats from 5 to 6 and to change the Voting system to MMP | ||||||||||||
Vinland News | 15 May 2020 | 15 | First Preference | 20% | 53.3% | 26.7% | - | - | - | - | 26.6% | 46.7% | 53.3% |
Final Result | 21.7% | 48.3% | 26.7% | - | - | - | - | 21.6% | 51.7% | 48.3% | |||
BNN | 15 May 2020 | 17 | First Preference | 23.5% | 29.4% | 47.1% | - | - | - | - | 17.7% | 70.6% | 29.4% |
Final Result | 25.4% | 26.8% | 47.8% | - | - | - | - | 21.0% | 73.2% | 26.8% | |||
Flagspert | 14-15 May 2020 | 11 | First Preference | 18.1% | 27.2% | 54.5% | - | - | - | - | 27.3% | 72.8% | 27.2% |
Final Result | 31.3% | 21.9% | 46.9% | - | - | - | - | 15.6% | 78.1% | 21.9% | |||
BNN | 15 May 2020 | 6 | First Preference | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | - | - | - | - | Tie | 66.7% | 33.3% |
DNN | 14 May 2020 | 6 | First Preference | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | - | - | - | - | 16.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
Flagspert | 11-14 May 2020 | 6 | First Preference | 25.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | - | - | - | 8.3% | Tie | 58.3% | 33.3% |
BNN | 14 May 2020 | 6 | First Preference | 16.7% | 33.3% | 33.3% | - | - | - | 16.7% | Tie | 50.0% | 33.3% |
BNN | 13 May 2020 | 7 | First Preference | 14.3% | 42.9% | 42.9% | - | - | - | - | Tie | 57.1% | 42.9% |
12 May 2020 | Sergio is Elected Deputy Leader of the SDP | ||||||||||||
BNN | 12 May 2020 | 6 | First Preference | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50% | - | - | - | - | 16.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
11 May 2020 | Prime Minister's Debate | ||||||||||||
BNN | 11 May 2020 | 4 | First Preference | 25% | 25% | 50% | - | - | - | - | 25% | 75% | 25% |
11 May 2020 | Venstre Party is Dissolved | ||||||||||||
11 May 2020 | Royalist Party is Founded | ||||||||||||
11 May 2020 | Pirate Party is Dissolved | ||||||||||||
11 May 2020 | Communist Party is Dissolved | ||||||||||||
BNN | 10 May 2020 | 4 | First Preference | 25% | - | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | Tie | 50% | 50% |
9 May 2020 | King Ewing I calls a general election for 15 and 23 May | ||||||||||||
6 May 2020 | Parliament Votes 3-1 for an early general election for 15 to 23 May 2020 | ||||||||||||
BNN | 1 May 2020 | 4 | First Preference | 25% | - | 25% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% | Tie | 75% | 25% |
General Election | 27-28 December 2019 | 9 | First Preference | 33.3% | - | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 22.2% | - | 11.1% | 66.6% | 33.4% |
Seat projections
Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | Green | Royalist | SDP | Majority | Red | Blue |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BNN Projection | 21 May 2020 | 11-21 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Hung | 4 | 2 |
Election Predictions | 16 May 2020 | 11-16 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 3 | Hung | 4 | 2 |
Vinland News | 15 May 2020 | 15 May 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1 | R + 1 | 2 | 3 |
Flagspert | 15 May 2020 | 11-15 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
DNN | 14 May 2020 | 14 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
Polling Firm/Link | Fieldwork
Period |
Green | Royalist | SDP | Ventre | Communist | Pirate | Others /
Don't know |
Majority | Red | Blue |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BNN | 22 May 2020 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
BNN | 21 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
BNN | 20 May 2020 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
Vinland News | 19 May 2020 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
BNN | 19 May 2020 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
BNN | 18 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
BNN | 16 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
BNN | 15 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 2 |
Vinland News | 15 May 2020 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | R + 1 | 2 | 3 |
BNN | 15 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
Flagspert | 14-15 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
BNN | 15 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
DNN | 14 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
Flagspert | 11-14 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 3 | 2 |
BNN | 14 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 3 | 2 |
BNN | 13 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 3 | 2 |
BNN | 12 May 2020 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | - | - | Hung | 4 | 1 |
BNN | 11 May 2020 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | - | - | S + 1 | 4 | 1 |
BNN | 10 May 2020 | 2 | - | 1 | - | - | 2 | - | Hung | 3 | 2 |
BNN | 1 May 2020 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | Hung | 3 | 2 |
General Election | 27-28 December 2019 | 3 | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | G + 1 | 4 | 1 |
Electorate polling
Polling Firm/Link | Fieldwork
Period |
Green | Royalist | SDP |
---|---|---|---|---|
BNN Exit Poll | 15-23 May 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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