March 2020 Caudonian general election

From MicroWiki, the micronational encyclopædia
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Caudonian general election, March 2020
← November 2019 7 March 2020 May 2020 →

All 19 seats of the Caudonian Parliament
10 seats needed for a majority
Turnout69.8%
  First party Second party Third party
  New Albion SDP logo.png CF logo new.png Scots party logo.png
Leader Andrew West Ned Fram Malcom Conner
Party Social Democratic Caudonian Front Scots
Alliance Democratic Alliance Democratic Alliance
Leader since 2019 2019 2019
Last election 8 4 1
Seats won 6 6 2
Seat change 2 2 1
Popular vote 13 12 5
Percentage 29.5% 27.3% 11.4%
Swing 17.9% 6.2% 6.1%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Christian union logo.png AFC flag.png Co-operative party of caudonia logo.png
Leader Archibald Sinclair Gabriel Sebastian William Smish
Party Christian Union Alternative Co-operative
Leader since 2019 2020 2019
Last election 1 New party 1
Seats won 2 2 1
Seat change 1 2 Steady
Popular vote 4 4 4
Percentage 9.1% 9.1% 9.1%
Swing 1.2% 9.1% 1.2%

  Seventh party
  Libertarian party of Caudonia.png
Leader Caleb Wilson
Party Libertarian
Leader since 2020
Last election New party
Seats won 0
Seat change Steady
Popular vote 2
Percentage 4.5%
Swing 4.5%

Prime Minister before election

Andrew West
Social Democratic Party

Prime Minister after election

Andrew West
Social Democratic Party

The March 2020 Caudonian General Election was held on 7 March 2020, four months after the previous elections as per the Caudonian Constitution. The election was the first Caudonian election of the 2020s.

Background

Political changes in Caudonia

Since the last general election in Caudonia. there has been many changes in the political landscape of the country. The only thing remaining the same is that Socdems and the Front remain the largest parties in Caudonia in terms of political power and members.

Since the last election, secondary parties have started to rise in the form of the Co-operative Party, the Christian Union and the Scots Party.As well as this, there have been several formations of new parties, like the Texan Heritage Party and the Triskelist Party (which split from the main Caudonian Front). Parties have also dissolved in Caudonia, most notably the Leftist League and the Populist Conservative Party. The Bread Party changed hands in order to become a left-wing party led by Yákov Szydłowski, which soon after founding merged to create the left-wing faction of the Scots Party. This short time period between the last election has made a massive change for the Political Climate of Caudonia.

Social changes in Caudonia

Caudonia now has a rise in people of different backgrounds joining the country as citizens, some of these have even taken on very important roles in Caudonian Society. People in Caudonia are no longer coming from English-speaking countries but from the world.

Scots Speakers in Caudonia

Caudonia's Scots speaking population has experienced a boom in recent weeks. This is due on part because of a citizenship campaign by Scots Party leader Malcolm Conner to attract more Scots-speaking citizens into the country.

The role of women in Caudonian Society

The Social Democratic Party has also hosted the first female MP in Caudonia, Joy Baldacchino, she is the first female Member of Parliament in a nation reigned by William I. As well as this, Krystool has been employed as Caudonia's Clerk of the Assembly. Even though women have been treated equally from the start of Caudonia. This has shown that Caudonian women are taking on important roles within the country.

Campaign

The Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation held a debate on 15 February.

Campaigning for the Caudonian General election started on Monday, February 24th. The day after campaigning began, a controversy started over William I's direct involvement in campaigning for the Co-operative Party, and his use of "mudslinging" tactics against the Scots and the Socdems. Politicians from both the Democratic Alliance and the Coalition for Caudonia denounced his actions, noting that the monarch is supposed to act as a neutral force in the government. The event culminated in an official apology from the Prince and the announcement that he would no longer campaign directly. Ned Fram stated to the Prince that he should not have apologized because the Scots did actually cause some offense to Christians, because of a statement made regarding pedophilia in the Catholic Church.

Gibson announced that the next day that they would not hesitate for a unilateral declaration of independence should an extremist party take control of Caudonia. They stated however they would remain loyal to the House of Denton.

On February 27th, Ned Fram announced the withdrawal of the Caudonian Front from the Coalition for Caudonia, and thus, its effective dissolution. He apologized for joining the Coalition in the first place, stating that he now believed it to be a "betray(al)" of his party's core values. He also cited discussions with leaders from both the Democratic Alliance and the Alternative for Caudonia in his official statement given to the Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation.

Opinion polls

There has been opinion polls carried out to predict who may win in the next Caudonian General election. There has also been polling on the three referenda that are scheduled to be held alongside this election.

Online/Citizens Abroad

Pollster Release date SDP* PSL* DA CF§ CU§ CfC AfC Co-op LP Invalid/Undecided Lead
CBC Gibson 21-2-2020 20% 13.3% - 20% 13.3% - 13.3% 0% - 6.7% Tie
CBC 1-3-2020 - - 41.7% - - 25% 8.3% 0% - 25% 16.7%
CBC Gibson 4-3-2020 - - 26.7% 20% 13.3% - 13.3% 6.7% 6.7% 13.3% 6.7%
  • = Member of the DA

§ = Member of the CfC until 27th of February

Bismarck

Pollster Release date SDP CF†† CU†† CfC Undecided Lead
Bismarck Statistics Bureau 13-2-2020 50% 17% 17% - 17% 33%
Bismarck Statistics Bureau 23-2-2020 50% - - 17% 34% 33%
Bismarck Statistics Bureau 26-2-2020 67% - - 17% 17% 50%
Bismarck Statistics Bureau 2-3-2020 67% - 17% - 17% 50%
  • †: Party polling percentages may not equal 100% due to rounding.
  • ††: Member of the CfC until 27th February

Ludusia

Pollster Release date CF
Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation 15-2-2020 100%

Parnia

Pollster Release date CF AfC Lead
Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation 13-2-2020 80% 20% 60%

GUM Accession Referendum

Question: Should Caudonia begin efforts to join the Grand Unified Micronational (commonly known as GUM)?

Pollster Release date Yes No Undecided Lead
Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation 1-3-2020 41.7% 16.7% 41.7% 25%

USOV Accession Referendum

Question: Should Caudonia begin efforts to join the reformed United Sovereignties (commonly known as USov)?

Pollster Release date Yes No Undecided Lead
Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation 1-3-2020 25% 25% 50% Tie

State Secularism Referendum

Question: Should the Constitution be amended to ban the Government from favoring one religion or religious group over another?

Pollster Release date Yes No Undecided Lead
Caudonian Broadcasting Corporation 1-3-2020 66.7% 8.3% 25% 58.4%

Results

In this election, the Social Democratic Party saw its vote share fall by more than 17%, though it still finished in first place amongst all parties in terms of the popular vote. These losses were partially offset by the success of their partner in the Democratic Alliance, the Scots Party, which increased its vote share by just over 6%, finishing in third place among all political parties. The Caudonian Front saw similar gains, and finished only one vote behind the Social Democrats, largely due to their successes in the counties of Caudonia, which had been won by the Social Democrats in the previous election.

Party Leader Votes % Seats +/–
Democratic Alliance (SDP/Scots) Andrew West 18 40.9% 8 1
Social Democratic Party Andrew West 13 29.5% 6 2
Caudonian Front Ned Fram 12 27.3% 6 2
Scots Party Malcom Conner 5 11.4% 2 1
Christian Union Archibald Sinclair 4 9.1% 2 1
Alternative for Caudonia Gabriel Sebastian 4 9.1% 2 2
Co-operative Party William Smish 4 9.1% 1 Steady
Libertarian Party Caleb Wilson 2 4.5% 0 Steady

Results by County

Olbialand

Olbialand
Party Votes %
Caudonian Front 3 60.0%
Co-operative Party 1 20.0%
Social Democratic Party 1 20.0%
Turnout 5 100%
Caudonian Front Gain

Bismarck

Bismarck
Party Votes %
Social Democratic Party 5 83.3%
Christian Union 1 16.7%
Turnout 6 100%
Social Democratic Hold

Ludusia

Ludusia
Party Votes %
Caudonian Front 2 100%
Turnout 2 100%
Caudonian Front Gain

Parnia

Parnia
Party Votes %
Caudonian Front 3 60.0%
Alternative for Caudonia 1 20.0%
Libertarian Party 1 20.0%
Turnout 5 100%
Caudonian Front Gain

New Rutland

Mainland
Party Votes %
Social Democratic Party 2 50.0%
Co-operative Party 1 25.0%
Caudonian Front 1 25.0%
Turnout 4 100%
Social Democratic Hold

Citizens Abroad/Online Voters

Citizens Abroad
Party Votes %
Scots Party 5 23.8%
Social Democratic Party 4 19.0%
Christian Union 3 14.3%
Alternative for Caudonia 3 14.3%
Co-operative Party 2 9.5%
Caudonian Front 2 9.5%
Libertarian Party 1 4.8%
Turnout 17 52.5%
Scots Party Gain

Aftermath and Government Formation

The government formation process after this election was the most hectic and strained to date, with multiple delays, arguments, and even the dissolution of the Co-operative Party taking place. The Prince first tasked the Caudonian Front with trying to form a Government, but they ultimately failed in their attempt to form a coalition between their party, the Co-operative Party, and the Alternative for Caudonia, as it would fall one seat short of a majority. This was only one of a multitude of proposed coalitions, with others including a coalition between the Christian Union, the Caudonian Front, and the Alternative for Caudonia, or another between the Social Democratic Party, the Caudonian Front, and the Alternative for Caudonia. Ultimately, however, after the dissolution of the Co-operative Party (its sole MP now sits with the Democratic Alliance), the Alliance, a group consisting of the Social Democrats and the Scots, was only one seat short of a majority in the 19 seat Parliament. Accordingly, they made a confidence and supply arrangement with the Christian Union, giving them a total of 11 seats, and a majority in Parliament.