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Revision as of 02:25, 30 July 2020

July 2020 Abeldane federal election

← June 2020 28 - 30 July 2020 December 2020 →

11 of 13 seats in the Reichsversammlung
8 seats needed for a majority
Registered38 18.64%
Turnout64.4% ( 30.6 pp)
  First party Second party
  Renwick NRGU bubblehead.png Stumperth bubblehead.png
Leader Patrick Renwick Connor Stumperth
Party National Royalists Confederals
Leader since 14 July 2020 10 July 2020
Leader's seat 4th 1st
Last election 35.1%[N 1] New
Seats before 3 0
Seats won 6 + 1 3
Seat change 4 3
Popular vote 20' 12
Percentage 52.6% 31.6%
Swing 17,5 pp New

  Third party
  Brandon W bubble.png
Leader Brandon Wu
Party Liberty Front
Leader since 8 July 2020
Leader's seat 11th
Last election 3 seats
Seats before 3 + 1
Seats won 2
Seat change 2
Popular vote 6
Percentage 15.8%
Swing 8.79 pp

Vorsitzender before election

Patrick Renwick
National Royalists

Vorsitzender after election

Patrick Renwick
National Royalists

The 22nd Abeldane federal election took place from 28 until 30 July 2020; 12 out of 14 seats in the Reichsversammlung, were up for election. It was the 10th legislative election in the Empire since the introduction of direct elections to the Reichsversammlung.

The election came only a month after the June election, 5 month ahead of schedule, due to the Concordiagate scandal which rocked the Empire, and lead to the dissolution of the 13th Reichsversammlung by Emperor Nicholas only a week after its opening.

The National Royalists (NRGU) sought to gain a majority in the Reichsversammlung after having held only 3 seats following the previous election. The Confederals (C) also sought to gain a majority after having emerged from the collapse of its predecessor, the Pirate League and Concordia Alliance during Concordiagate. Liberty Front stood to defend their 3 seats.

The election resulted in major gains for the National Royalists, who won 52.6% of the popular vote and 6 seats. The Confederals came second in the vote, with nearly 31% and winning 3 seats. The Liberty Front suffered heavy losses, and won only 2 seats.

Background

In the aftermath of the June 2020 election, which saw the Concordia Alliance, consisting of the Pirate League and Liberty Front soar with a combined 65% of the vote, the Empire fell into a period without a government, as Vorsitzender Patrick Renwick resigned.

Subsequently, a deep rooted conspiracy against Renwick and other prominent National Royalists, perpetrated by Stephen Freayth, Emperor Nicholas and the leadership of the Concordia Alliance came to light, known as Concordiagate. It became clear Freayth, who was head of the Reichswahlkommission, the federal electoral body, had rigged the election in favour of Concordia. These revelations plunged the empire into deep crisis, with the Concordia Alliance and Pirate League disintegrating, and prompting the Emperor to dissolve the newly constituted 13th Reichsversammlung and call new elections.

Electoral system

Members of the Reichsversammlung are divided into two: elected members and directly appointed members. Under the constitution, it provides two appointed seats in the Reichsversammlung. One seat is held ex officio by the Ervecysarich, at the time of the election Newton von Uberquie, and one seat is directly appointed by the Monarch and is called the Imperial Representative. The rest of the seats are directly elected through the election.

Party-list proportional representation system is used for the electable seats and the Droop quota is used for allocating seats to parties. Each parties get to submit a list of members who wish to be elected in the Reichsversammlung and must not exceed the total number of elected seats. Members under the party list are ordered accordingly at the discretion of the party and they have to belong to the same party as their party list.

Currently, there are eleven electable seats and the constitution allows for diminishing or increasing these seats. Seats were last increased or diminished in November 2019, where the current 11+2 seats were implemented.

Campaign

National Royalists

Confederals

Liberty Front

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Reichsversammlung.

Name Ideologies Leader July. 2020 result Seats as of
July 2020
Votes (%) Seats
C Confederals
Konföderative
Confederalism Connor Stumperth New
3 / 13
3 / 13
LF Liberty Front
Front für Freiheit
Liberalism Brandon Wu 15.8%
2 / 13
2 / 13
NRGU National Royalists - The Green Union
Nationale Königstreue - Die Grüne
Royalism Patrick Renwick 52.6%
7 / 13
7 / 13

Results

7 3 2 1
National Royalists Confederals LF Ind.
Reichsversammlung – Turnout 64,4%
Party Votes % Swing
(pp)
Seats Change
(seats)
  National Royalists 20 52,6 +17,5 7 3
  Confederals 12 31,6 +31,6 3 3
  Liberty Front 6 15,8 -8,79 2 1
Total 38 100.00 11 0
Invalid/blank votes 0 0.0 0
Registered voters/turnout 38 64.4% -30.6
Source: Reichswahlkommission Official Report
Popular Vote
Pirate League
  
40.35%
Liberty Front
  
24.6%
Green Royalists
  
19.3%
National Union
  
15.8%
Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Pirate League
  
45.45%
Liberty Front
  
27.27%
Green Royalists
  
18.18%
National Union
  
9.09%
Reichsversammlung Seats (electable)
Pirate League
  
38.46%
Liberty Front
  
30.77%
Green Royalists
  
15.38%
National Union
  
7.69%

Members

Previous MP Party Took office Elected MP Party Took office Seat #
Elected
Henry Twain National Union 29 May 2020 Connor Stumperth Pirate League 4 February 2019 1
Andrew Irons National Union 10 February 2020 Andrew Irons Liberty Front 10 February 2020 2
Vacant National Union 3 June 2020 Austin Jaax Pirate League 7 September 2019 3
Patrick Renwick National Union 12 October 2019 Patrick Renwick National Union 12 October 2019 4
Alex White Green Royalists 27 April 2020 Keenan Clough Pirate League Not yet sworn in 5
James Frisch National Union 1 January 2020 Chase Nanatovich Pirate League Not yet sworn in 6
Nicolas Millan Green Royalists 6 January 2019 Nicolas Millan Green Royalists 6 January 2019 7
Austin Jaax Green Royalists 7 September 2019 Newton von Uberquie Green Royalists Not yet sworn in 8
Edward Daniels Liberty Front 7 January 2019 Edward Daniels Liberty Front 7 January 2019 9
Thomas Bainbridge Green Royalists 25 February 2020 Tarik Karjasari Pirate League Not yet sworn in 10
Zarel Smith National Union 16 November 2019 Brandon Wu Liberty Front Not yet sworn in 11
Appointed
Connor Stumperth Pirate League 4 February 2019 James Frisch Liberty Front Not yet sworn in 12
Stephen Freayth Independent 16 June 2018 Stephen Freayth Independent 16 June 2018 13

Aftermath

Shortly after the announcement of the results by the Reichswahlkommission, Vorsitzender and ANU leader Patrick Renwick announced his effective resignation, stating that support for the government had "evaporated and gone with the wind".[1][2] Since the position of Stellvertreter has been vacant since the passing of the last officeholder, Nicholas Randouler, on 3 June 2020, a snap executive election must now be held, two months earlier than anticipated in the established electoral calendar.

Opinion polls

Polynomial regression of polling for the June 2020 Abeldane federal election

Legislative

Pollster Conducted Sample P
ANU
LF ASE PRC PL Other Lead
PRG
L'Sydunche 20-26 June 2020 17 17.6% 29.4% 17.6% 35.3% - 5.9%
L'Sydunche 17-19 June 2020 11 18.2% 36.4% 18.2% 27.3% - 9.1%
L'Sydunche 15-16 June 2020 16 12.5% 31.3% 25.0% 31.3% - Tie
L'Sydunche 5-7 June 2020 15 13.3% 33.3% 13.3% 40.0% - 6.7%
L'Sydunche 29-31 May 2020 10 30.0% 50.0% 20.0% - - 20.0%
L'Sydunche 27 May 2020 17 11.8% 64.7% 23.5% - - 41.2%
L'Sydunche 24 May 2020 17 29.4% 58.8% 11.8% - - 29.4%
L'Sydunche 1 May 2020 26 30.8% 38.5% 15.4% 15.4% - - 8%
L'Sydunche 28 April 2020 11 18.2% 27.3% 27.3% 27.3% - - Tie

Notes

  1. The percentage points shown here are the combined results of Green Royalists and National Union last election prior to their merger.

References

  1. Karjasari, Tarik (30 June 2020). "Renwick resigns as Concordia wins supermajority in Reichsversammlung". L'Sydunche. Retrieved 30 June 2020.
  2. "Left-wing landslide in Abelden; Renwick resigns". Amerston Post. 30 June 2020. Retrieved 30 June 2020.